BUDDY market analysis indicates that the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate hikes, leading to a rebound in market risk appetite, and BUDDY is expected to benefit from improving sentiment. However, the rise in Bitcoin dominance and liquidity exhaustion have increased price pressure on small and mid-cap tokens, making short-term sell-off risks worth watching. For BUDDY to achieve a mid-term recovery, stablecoin inflows and the return of large capital inflows need to be monitored. Investors are advised to pay attention to US dollar fluctuations and the technical stabilization of Bitcoin to capture the next rebound opportunity.

**Fed Rate Hike Window May Be Closing, Risk Appetite Expected to Rebound**

- The US Dollar Index has remained at a three-week high recently, mainly due to easing geopolitical risks and Fed officials expressing the possibility of a rate cut in July.
- For the crypto market, a stabilized dollar does not mean immediate weakness in risk assets. On the contrary, rate cut expectations have resulted in a short-term market sentiment that is cautious but shows willingness to bottom out.
- As a small/mid-cap token, BUDDY is expected to be favored during the risk asset sentiment recovery phase, but attention should still be paid to potential short-term volatility caused by sudden USD pullbacks.

**Large-cap Coins Weakening, Liquidity Contraction Intensifies Price Divergence**

- Bitcoin’s market dominance has reached new highs, but key bear market indicators have sounded warnings, indicating that large holders may be gradually withdrawing.
- Stablecoin inflows are slowing and liquidity typically shrinks in summer, creating even greater price pressure and volatility for small/mid-cap tokens.
- BUDDY has recently come under downward pressure, so beware of persistent short-term selling; but if Bitcoin and ETH technically stabilize, secondary tokens may rebound by riding the trend.

**Bottom-finding Still Ongoing, Rebound Needs Volume Support**

- Swiss monitoring data reveals that the overall digital asset market has not yet reached its historical bottom range, with mainstream and most altcoins still under pressure.
- Although the market previously experienced an approximately 30% rebound, mainstream ETH and most tokens have not yet confirmed their bottoms.
- For BUDDY to break free from prolonged consolidation, it is necessary to observe the strength of stablecoin and large-capital inflows, which may provide a more solid mid-term recovery opportunity.

alright buddy

Global markets are fretting about growth due to the war in Iran. A slowdown is something stocks can handle. However, the risk that the global economy tips the wrong way is also increasing.

Fed's Musalem: The current interest rate setting remains appropriate

BoE's Bailey: Markets getting ahead of themselves by pricing in rate hikes – Reuters

What Friday's high-profile US jobs report means for Bitcoin price

Is the Middle East war really coming to an end?

Eurozone: Inflation sparks ECB rate repricing – DBS

Bitunix Analyst: Employment Cooling Combined with Further Energy Contraction, War Spillover to Tech Infrastructure, Market Enters "Risk Pricing Distortion" Phase

Goldman Sachs: Fed's rate hike expectations remain low for the year

Fed's Mussa: Iran war energy shock will comprehensively push up inflation

PA Infographic | Understand the major Web3 events in April 2026 at a glance.

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