Benefiting from improved macro risk sentiment and the strong performance of Bitcoin, COTI has seen active short-term capital inflows, driving both price and volume higher. The current price is holding above $0.0145, maintaining a bullish trend with immediate resistance at $0.016. However, caution is warranted regarding profit-taking pressures after high-volume rallies and the risk of intensified pullbacks as volatility increases. If trading volume cannot be sustained, there is a risk of retracing to the $0.014 support level. For the medium to long term, it is recommended to combine market volatility and changes in derivatives funding, adopt a strategy of building positions in batches, and practice strict position management to cope with potential corrections and resonance risks.

Recently, easing geopolitical tensions and a shift in Federal Reserve policy have fueled a broad-based rise in risk assets. Bitcoin's price has repeatedly broken through the $74,000 mark, revitalizing market risk appetite. Against this backdrop, COTI quickly surged from around $0.0133 in early April to nearly $0.015, with significant increases in trading volume indicating aggressive entry by bulls. While the positive short-term sentiment is evident, attention should be paid to the potential disruptions posed by volatility.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

On the daily chart, COTI reached a high of $0.015117 on April 16, with a volume peak signaling a breakout. The current price stability above $0.0145 is supportive of further upward movement for bulls, with the next resistance at $0.016. However, if trading volume fails to continue increasing, short-term profit-taking could accelerate, leading to a price retracement toward $0.014 or lower.

Data from the derivatives market shows that Bitcoin faces negative gamma effects at key price levels, which could amplify volatility if important thresholds are breached. As a high-beta asset, COTI similarly faces the risk of accelerated corrections should leveraged positions be unwound. For medium- to long-term positioning, attention should be paid to overall market volatility indicators and shifts in derivatives funding, building positions gradually and maintaining tight position control to guard against synchronized pullbacks.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

COTI

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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COTI price today is 0.02, with a live price change of 4.42 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade COTI on Bybit-eu.

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