After a short-term emotional rebound, TUNA experienced an explosive surge. Currently, selling pressure at high levels dominates, with 0.0148–0.0156 acting as strong short-term resistance and 0.0120 as a key support level. The contraction in trading volume indicates weakening bullish support. In the medium to long term, heightened volatility combined with macro uncertainties may lead to a renewed rise in risk premium. It is recommended to monitor key long/short level breakouts and changes in trading volume, maintain disciplined risk management, and beware of further downside in case 0.0120 fails. Avoid blindly chasing highs.

With the easing of geopolitical tensions, market risk appetite received a significant short-term boost, prompting investors to reposition into high-volatility assets. TUNA's price surged sharply for three consecutive days from April 6th to 8th, jumping rapidly from 0.01223 to 0.02072, with daily trading volume exceeding 29 million—a record high. During this phase, bullish sentiment prevailed, with both trading activity and open interest picking up significantly, which typifies the market psychology of 'buying the dips and adding to winners at highs.'

After the explosive rally, TUNA quickly entered a volatile downtrend channel. From April 9th to 16th, the price fluctuated repeatedly in the range of 0.01196–0.01566, forming a series of long upper-shadow bearish candles, signaling an accumulation of selling pressure at high levels. Key resistance is currently concentrated at the 0.0148–0.0156 range, which has failed multiple breakout attempts; the main support below is anchored at 0.0120. If this level is breached, a test of the short-term bottom near 0.01196 is likely. Trading volume has noticeably contracted during the retracement, indicating a weakening willingness of buyers to support prices.

Although easing geopolitical tensions have provided a short-term emotional boost, its sustainability remains to be validated by the market. From a medium- to long-term value perspective, TUNA has not yet escaped the high volatility that follows a sharp rally. It is essential to be on alert for a renewed risk premium, which could trigger a secondary wave of selling. Additionally, if there are new developments in macro policies or the international landscape, investor sentiment may quickly turn conservative, increasing volatility further. Traders should combine analysis of trading volume recovery and the momentum of upward price breakouts, being particularly wary of the potential tail risks posed by chasing prices at high levels.

DefiTuna

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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TUNA price today is 0.01, with a live price change of -1.45 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade TUNA on Bybit-eu.

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