ETHY is currently driven by a short-term recovery in investor sentiment. If it fails to break above $3,252 effectively, there is a risk of pulling back to $2,952. In the mid-to-long term, however, it benefits from continued net inflows into Ethereum ETFs and institutional allocation needs, giving a strong fundamental support. Due to uneven liquidity distribution in derivatives markets, monitoring ETHY’s liquidity and order book depth should be a priority. Strategically, investors may consider trend-following, layered position management, and strict leverage control to guard against non-systematic risks amplified by volatility.

Recently, the crypto market has shown obvious signs of recovery, with Ether surging over 6% in the short term, warming up overall bullish sentiment. However, the market has yet to fully break away from the 'extreme fear' zone. Technically, if ETH cannot effectively hold above $3,252, there remains a risk of another pullback to around $2,952. As a derivative closely tied to the Ethereum ecosystem, ETHY’s short-term volatility may amplify the probing motion within this price range. Investors should closely monitor the loss or regain of these key price levels.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Gate Ventures reports a rebound in the cryptocurrency market with BTC and ETH rising 4.13% and 6.61%, respectively, boosting total crypto market cap by 4.82%. ETF inflows improved, reversing two weeks of outflows, with BTC and ETH ETFs gaining approximately $459 million and $161 million. Despite price gains, market sentiment remains in "extreme fear." Mid- and small-cap assets outperformed, led by Memecoins. Ecosystem growth is driven by Ethereum scaling, institutional tokenized finance, and demand for compliant decentralized AI infrastructure. Four funding events raised about $17 million, mainly for data and infrastructure, signaling ongoing long-term development amid cautious short-term sentiment.

Gate Ventures: The cryptocurrency market rebounds, ETF fund inflows signal improvements in market structure.

According to ChainCatcher and Coinglass data, if ETH falls below $2,952, the total long position liquidation on major centralized exchanges (CEX) will reach $1.154 billion. Conversely, if ETH breaks above $3,252, the total short position liquidation on major CEX will reach $995 million.

Data: If ETH falls below $2,952, the total long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $1.154 billion.

Ethereum spot ETFs continue to attract large-scale net inflows, with single-day totals above $168 million and historical cumulative inflows exceeding $12.671 billion, accounting for 5.1% of Ethereum’s total market cap. This notable institutional allocation demand reflects a long-term optimism towards on-chain scaling, compliant DeFi, and AI infrastructure on Ethereum. For ETHY, which relies on the Ethereum ecosystem, robust capital flows and fundamental growth logic will provide solid mid- and long-term support.

On January 5, Ethereum spot ETFs saw a total net inflow of $168 million, with BlackRock's ETHA leading at $103 million in daily net inflows, bringing its total historical net inflow to $12.718 billion. Grayscale's Ethereum Mini Trust ETF (ETH) followed with $22.34 million in daily net inflows and a total of $1.56 billion historically. The total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs reached $19.953 billion, representing 5.1% of Ethereum's total market cap, with cumulative net inflows of $12.671 billion.

Ethereum spot ETFs had a total net inflow of $168 million yesterday, with BlackRock's ETHA leading with a net inflow of $103 million.

Liquidity in derivatives and short-term contract markets remains uneven, with data showing that nearly two-thirds of the short-term market saw no trading within 24 hours. Compared to traditional sports and political contracts, the average trading volume for crypto varieties is relatively low. As a small-to-mid cap token, ETHY’s order book depth and volume distribution are particularly crucial; when liquidity is insufficient, slippage and liquidation risks are magnified. It is advised to pay attention to exchange depth and capital distribution characteristics.

Trend investing remains effective in the current market environment. During bull phases, Ethereum and small-to-mid assets generally experience upward opportunities, while one should decisively exit in bear markets. While perfect timing is difficult, following the trend, layering take-profits and stop-losses can help achieve reasonable returns amid volatility. For high-volatility assets like ETHY, it's especially important to strictly control leverage and single position sizing to prevent unsystematic risks caused by short-term sentiment swings.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua stated that respected investors like Buffett profit from value and trends, not speculation. He affirmed that 2024 is set to be a bull market due to macro and industry factors beyond individual control. Short sellers are making a final effort but face losses—exiting early means small losses, exiting late means large losses. After a month of market volatility, optimism will prevail while pessimists lag behind.

Yi Lihua: Trend is better than speculation, the bull market is set, bears face "small losses early, big losses late."

Ethy AI

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Market pricing shows the probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike has risen to 11%.

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Powell: Policy likely to remain in neutral range

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