The recent trend of EUL is driven by geopolitical factors and risk appetite. After quickly testing $0.92, it saw a rapid V-shaped rebound, strongly breaking through and stabilizing above the key $1.17 level, with significant trading volume. The division between bullish and bearish sides is clear at present. In the short term, attention should be paid to the firmness of the $1.17 support. If trading volume remains, the target is $1.50; if volume shrinks, be cautious of a pullback to the $1.05~$1.10 area. Strategically, keep dynamic monitoring of sentiment and liquidity, be cautious about chasing highs, and consider accumulating at support on pullbacks.

Affected by sudden geopolitical events, a short-term strengthening of the US dollar placed pressure on overall risk assets; EUL's price fell from above $1.01 to near $0.96. Although trading volume increased compared to previous periods, the $0.95–$1.00 range saw multiple instances of buying support, indicating that selling pressure did not form a sustained trend. In the short term, a wait-and-see sentiment dominates. If geopolitical risks intensify, EUL may retest the $0.92 level; otherwise, it is likely to consolidate above the current support zone.

Analyst Dilin Wu from Pepperstone states that the failure of US-Iran talks has entrenched uncertainty, causing a short-term strengthening of the US dollar alongside a slight decline in US Treasury yields. After the initial market reaction fades, Treasury yields may show complex movements, with short-term yields dipping due to risk aversion, while rising oil prices could push long-term yields higher by anchoring inflation expectations. Energy and defense sectors are expected to outperform, reflecting supply constraints and increased geopolitical risk premiums.

Analyst: Breakdown in US-Iran talks embeds uncertainty, US dollar to strengthen briefly

As geopolitical tensions eased and policy expectations shifted, risk appetite quickly returned. EUL started a V-shaped rebound from the $0.96 low, with the bulls seizing the momentum and pushing up on increased volume. Within three consecutive trading days, it swiftly broke through both the $1.10 and $1.20 resistance levels, reaching as high as $1.48. This rebound was accompanied by significant trading volume, indicating that active buying was enough to drive the short-term trend, and the market sentiment rapidly shifted from caution to optimism.

From the daily chart, EUL has stabilized above the prior $1.17 neckline resistance and has formed a new short-term upward channel. If bulls can defend the $1.17 support during pullbacks, with trading volume maintained above the daily average, the next target will be the $1.50 level; otherwise, if volume shrinks, watch for a pullback to test support in the $1.05–$1.10 area. Overall, after short-term consolidation, upward momentum may remain, but close monitoring of trading volume and key price levels is needed to determine whether sentiment will continue to spread.

Euler

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Euler Price: EUL Live Price Today | EUL Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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EUL price today is 1.55, with a live price change of 16.63 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade EUL on Bybit-eu.

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