Although liquidity has receded, it remains at a high level, and market sentiment is becoming more cautious. Monitoring indicates the formation of a bottom signal, suggesting an increased possibility of a rebound, and FLRBRG assets may strengthen in tandem. In the short term, it is advised to buy low and sell high within the oscillating range, while in the medium and long term, attention should be paid to a breakout in the rebound trend, and profit-taking and risk control should be observed. If liquidity declines further or the bottom signal fails, positions need to be adjusted rapidly.

According to current stablecoin inflow data, USDT/USDC deposit volumes have retreated from last year’s high and are now below the annual average, though still at a relatively high level. This indicates a certain cooling of market enthusiasm, with investors exhibiting increased wait-and-see sentiment. At the same time, high liquidity provides support for asset pricing, with overall risk appetite remaining within a reasonable range.

- Short-term market sentiment: becoming cautious, wait-and-see dominates
- Liquidity impact: although receding, still higher than at the start of the bull market, laying the foundation for a rebound
- For FLRBRG: capital environment mildly tightening, short-term volatility likely to increase

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. noted that while the average daily inflow of USDT and USDC into centralized exchanges peaked at $131 billion in December 2024 when Bitcoin was priced between $98,000 and $100,000, it has since dropped to $70 billion in June, below the 365-day average of $75 billion. This decline indicates a cooling of market enthusiasm, yet the liquidity remains significantly higher than at the beginning of the bull market. Currently, the market is in a consolidation and bottoming phase before the next rally.

Analyst: Currently in the consolidation and bottoming phase before the next rally begins.

Monitoring data shows that the market has triggered a bottom confirmation signal, and in the past, major assets have experienced staged increases at similar points. Currently, the negative momentum for most altcoins has dropped to single digits, with clear bottom characteristics. Historical experience suggests that a further release of negative momentum to 0% is likely to herald a new round of rebound.

- Bottom characteristics: momentum indicators resonate, prices oscillating at low levels
- Rebound logic: capital influx restarts, rapid rebound after risk-aversion sentiment dissipates
- For FLRBRG: if the overall market rebounds, related assets are expected to strengthen in tandem

Foresight News reports that according to Swissblock monitoring, the market is currently at a bottom stage. The last top-bottom signal was triggered on April 7, leading to a significant market change with BTC rising about 30% within three weeks, and major altcoins increasing between 50% and 120%. Currently, only 8% of altcoins show negative momentum, and historical data suggests that a market bottom forms when this percentage reaches 15% to 25%. A reset to 0% is expected to lead to a rebound in Ethereum and other altcoins.

Analysis: Market bottom signals appear, and the market may rebound.

Combining liquidity and bottom signals, the short- and medium-term outlook for FLRBRG is as follows:

**Short-term strategy**: Adopt a buy-low-sell-high approach within the consolidation range, flexibly adjust positions, and closely monitor changes in liquidity and bottom momentum indicators.  
**Medium- to long-term strategy**: After the market rebound starts, capture opportunities for trend breakouts, increase allocations, pay attention to risk control, and set profit-taking targets.

- Short-term focus: watch pressure and support at the upper and lower bounds of the oscillation range
- Medium-term key: match trading volume in the bottom range with momentum recovery
- Risk warning: if liquidity continues to decline or the bottom signal fails, promptly reduce positions as necessary

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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 95%, and in July it is 87.9%.

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