JELLYJELLY recently achieved a V-shaped reversal, efficiently breaking through the 0.05 threshold in the short term, with bullish momentum significantly strengthened. Driven by rotation between Ethereum and Bitcoin, liquidity and sentiment are recovering simultaneously, and capital allocation willingness is rising. In the medium term, caution is required regarding potential suppression from Federal Reserve policies and macro risks; 0.0450–0.0460 is a key support range, and 0.0512 is a strong recent resistance. It is recommended to watch whether the price can consistently hold above 0.0512. If there is a breakout with strong volume, the upside target may reach the 0.06 area; if unsuccessful, beware of pullback risks, and pay attention to position sizing and stop-loss management.

From the daily chart, JELLYJELLY quickly initiated a V-shaped reversal after hitting a stage low of 0.04088 on April 5. On April 16, accompanied by a significant volume increase to 64.59 million contracts, it closed at 0.05110, fully recovering the early April high and breaking the previous pattern of successive long lower shadows indicating weakness. The price is now stabilizing near the key 0.05 mark, with bullish momentum notably strengthened in the short term.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Recently, the Ethereum derivatives market has seen clear buying interest return, continually defending the $2,000 support level and pushing futures open interest close to historical highs, while the spot ETF saw a net inflow of nearly $120 million. Bitcoin broke through a four-week high, boosting overall risk appetite in crypto assets. Against this backdrop, JELLYJELLY, as a high-beta sector, has gained greater allocation opportunities amidst broad bullish capital rotation, with trading volume and turnover rate both rising, and sentiment notably recovered.

Market data shows Ethereum buyers are returning, with bulls defending the $2000 support level. Since March 6, Ethereum's aggressive buying volume has remained positive, indicating a recovery in derivatives market demand. The buying pressure dominates at $104 million, marking the first such shift in Ethereum derivatives since the last bear market. Futures open interest nears a historic high, and spot Ethereum ETFs saw a $120 million net inflow, the highest since mid-March.

Analysis: Ethereum's proactive order consumption has remained positive since March, signaling a recovery in the derivatives market.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Although there is a rebound pattern in the short-term, global geopolitical risks have not been fully resolved, and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance or oil price fluctuations could suppress risk assets. The $75,000 level in Bitcoin poses a highly volatile point—failure to effectively break through may trigger a wave of pullbacks, impacting high-beta altcoins. Combining technical and sentiment indicators, it is suggested to closely watch the strength of support around 0.0450–0.0460 for bulls, and whether the resistance around 0.0512 can be held; if broken, an opportunity for an advance towards the 0.06 area arises, otherwise, caution is advised for downside risks.

Jelly-My-Jelly

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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JELLYJELLY price today is 0.05, with a live price change of 1.11 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade JELLYJELLY on Bybit-eu.

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