PUFF is currently in a low sideways consolidation range, with 0.0739 USDT as a key support level. If this level is lost, be alert for a technical decline; the 0.0746–0.0748 USDT range is the primary resistance. If there is a breakout with volume, a new round of upward movement may be triggered. In the short term, market sentiment is weak, capital flows have turned negative, trading volume continues to shrink, and selling pressure is significant. However, from a long-term perspective, continued ETF inflows and confidence among core holders provide value support. Strategy suggestion: pay attention to changes in key levels, control position sizing in the short term to guard against volatility risks from macro and regulatory disturbances, and consider accumulating on dips in the mid- to long-term awaiting market recovery.

The latest on-chain monitoring report shows that spot capital flow indicators have turned from positive to negative, indicating increased selling pressure in the market. The continuous decline in funding rates for longs in the derivatives market also confirms doubts among institutional investors and speculators about the strength of the upward momentum. Meanwhile, declining option premiums suggest weakened demand for downside protection. Based on recent daily candlestick patterns, since April 20th, the price has edged down from around 0.07456 USDT to 0.0739 USDT, presenting an overall sideways consolidation at low levels. After heavy trading volume earlier, volume has declined significantly, with a distinctly weaker short-term sentiment.

Glassnode's latest report highlights intensified market tug-of-war with spot CVD turning negative, indicating increased selling pressure and emerging bearish sentiment. Futures show rising risk appetite but declining long funding rates, reflecting growing bearishness. Options suggest reduced downside protection demand and neutralizing volatility. Meanwhile, US spot ETFs see rising MVRV and inflows, boosting investor interest and supporting cautious optimism amid stable long-term holder confidence.

Glassnode: Market bullish and bearish struggles intensify, spot CVD turns negative indicating increased selling pressure, but ETF inflows provide support.

Since the end of March, the PUFF price has repeatedly tested the 0.0739–0.0746 USDT range, establishing a relatively stable consolidation pattern. Many daily candlesticks show limited swings and frequent upper and lower wicks, indicating a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Watch the 0.0739 USDT support level—if broken, further declines are possible; resistance at the 0.0746–0.0748 USDT region is significant, and a breakout with volume could spark a new round of short covering.

Despite weak short-term sentiment, the continued inflow of spot ETFs brings incremental capital to the market and has gradually pushed up the MVRV ratio for long-term holders, highlighting ongoing confidence among core investors in the PUFF ecosystem. However, at the macro level, factors such as tight physical energy supplies, uncertainties related to the reopening of key shipping channels, ambiguous progress in crypto asset regulatory legislation, frequent DeFi security incidents, and ongoing industry policy adjustments may increase market volatility. Overall, while PUFF's long-term value has certain support, it is crucial to closely monitor macroeconomic and regulatory developments.

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