In the short term, PLN is constrained by liquidity exhaustion, with trading volume continuing to decline and prices oscillating narrowly within the $1.10–$1.24 range, lacking breakout momentum. Investors are advised to exercise caution in short-term trading. From a mid- to long-term perspective, driven by macro-political hedging demand, long-term market liquidity is 45 times that of the short term, with growing interest from institutions and high-net-worth users. PLN is poised for a steady increase in trading depth and value. Strategically, we recommend focusing on mid- to long-term value allocation opportunities for PLN and patiently awaiting trend signals triggered by improvements in liquidity and volume for short-term trades.

The latest report shows that over 60% of short-term (within 1 day) prediction markets have recorded no trades within a 24-hour period. In addition, the average daily trading volume in the crypto segment stands at only around $44,000, much lower than the average level for sports event markets. From the recent candlestick charts, PLN trading volume has continued to shrink, with prices fluctuating within a narrow range without forming a valid breakout upward or downward. In this low-liquidity environment, market sentiment leans towards caution, with neither bulls nor bears having sufficient motivation to drive a one-sided move. In the short term, the market may continue to see range-bound patterns or only modest corrective rebounds.

The average liquidity in long-cycle (over 30 days) markets is 45 times that of short-term markets, with U.S. political topics leading and geopolitics being the fastest-growing sector. This indicates that, as a token for a derivatives platform, PLN possesses clear advantages in meeting macropolitical hedging needs. If more institutions and high-net-worth investors shift their macro event hedging demands onto the blockchain, PLN’s trading depth and user engagement in the mid- to long-term are expected to steadily increase, thereby providing a more solid foundation for token value appreciation.

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Crypto Market Remains Range-Bound; US Jobs Report Exceeds Expectations

Institutions: The stronger-than-expected rebound in March non-farm payrolls demonstrates the resilience of the US labor market, with inflation currently being the core variable in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

Huatai Securities: March Nonfarm Payroll Data Reflects Resilience of the US Job Market, Inflation Becomes the Core Variable in Fed Policy

Crypto traders fade 2026 Fed cuts as U.S. unemployment dips, but risk assets hold bid

The IMF calls on the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates.

The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates twice this year to support the labor market.

CICC: Investment demand and prices for gold may both have room for upward correction.

Stronger, broader hiring could ease Fed job market worries

Fed's Daly: The Federal Reserve should focus on the employment rate rather than employment data.

US military activity in Iran drives prediction market surge for troop presence

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