Benefiting from Bitcoin’s new highs and continued institutional ETF inflows, market risk appetite has improved. SFUND formed strong support at $0.0335 with coordinated volume and price action, and short-term sentiment has clearly recovered. The spillover effect of institutional buying is favorable for small- and mid-cap tokens, with clear signs of technical recovery. Strategy recommendation: Monitor the validity of the $0.0335 support zone; if there is a breakout above $0.0360 with volume, target the $0.038~0.040 area. Amid macro liquidity and risk event disturbances, it is advisable to maintain flexible positions, gradually accumulate on dips, and wait for fundamental recovery and liquidity improvement to drive a revaluation of long-term value.

Bitcoin broke through the $74,000 high and set a new multi-week high, while institutional ETFs continued to see large inflows, highlighting their safe-haven attributes against a backdrop of heightened geopolitical tensions. The rebound in mainstream market risk appetite has created a positive environment for the overall crypto asset market. On the daily chart, SFUND experienced large block trades around $0.0335, followed by a rapid rebound, indicating that the oversold sector is being favored by funds and short-term sentiment is bullish.

Foresight News reports that the cryptocurrency market outperformed US stocks as Bitcoin surged past $74,000, reaching a high since February. This confirms Foresight Research Institute's prediction of a "high cost-performance zone" and signals bottom formation. Institutional buying is strong, with significant OTC volume growth, ETF inflows exceeding $760 million, and positive Coinbase premiums. Despite positive signs, macro risks remain, advising cautious optimism and monitoring key support and resistance levels.

New Fire Research Institute: Market Breaks Through $74K as Expected, Institutional Accumulation Signals Intensify Confirming the Bottom

Bitcoin and Ethereum have recently outperformed gold and global stocks amid geopolitical tensions, highlighting demand for safe-haven assets. Institutional investors, led by Strategy dubbed the "last central bank of Bitcoin," are increasing holdings, with Strategy adding 22,337 BTC at an average cost of $75,696. Spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $2.1 billion in inflows, mainly from institutional investors, while long-term holders remain strong, reinforcing Bitcoin's role as "digital gold."

Analysis: Bitcoin Outperforms Gold and Stock Markets Amid Global Turmoil, with Increased Accumulation in ETFs and Strategies

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, stabilizing oil prices near $100, and improving market risk appetite. Despite concerns over stagflation due to rising oil prices and slowing US economic growth, the stagflation risk remains low. The Fed's rate cut expectations have diminished, with markets focusing on a more cautious policy path. US stocks show resilience, especially in AI and chip sectors. In crypto, Bitcoin breaks above $70,000, signaling upward momentum, supported by positive ETF inflows and institutional buying, while Ethereum staking grows. However, credit market risks persist if oil prices surge further.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Highlights: Geopolitical Impact Cools Down, BTC Opens Upward Potential

OTC trading volume and ETF net inflows have surged, and institutional buying enthusiasm is on the rise. This not only boosts liquidity in mainstream coins, but also generates spillover effects for small- and mid-cap tokens. Despite persisting overall market volatility, the recovery of technical indicators and reduced liquidation pressure both favor a bottom reversal for SFUND, attracting a new wave of allocation demand.

Matrixport's analysis indicates that Circle's recent 88% price surge has largely played out. Despite a generally bearish market sentiment and positioning over the past two weeks, signs of a potential rebound are emerging. Technical indicators continue to improve, liquidation pressures remain manageable, and the market may be setting the stage for further recovery. Although trading volume is low, sentiment indicators have notably improved, suggesting caution against one-sided bearish views.

Analysis: Technical indicators continue to improve, and the market may be creating conditions for further recovery.

After plunging to $0.0335 on March 18, SFUND saw a surge in trading volume and formed a candlestick with a long lower shadow, establishing notable short-term support. Continued heavy buying at this level could mark it as a bottom area. Short-term resistance lies at $0.0358~0.0360; a breakout could open up a mid-term target area of $0.038~0.040. The relative strength index has rebounded from oversold levels, suggesting a period of fluctuation and technical recovery ahead.

Global liquidity tightening and rising geopolitical tensions are putting hidden pressure on the credit market, which may act as a short-term drag on risk assets. However, continued funding for on-chain infrastructure projects indicates persistent investment heat in the sector, providing fundamental support for ecosystem growth and long-term token appreciation. If SFUND leverages ecosystem partnerships and product iterations, it is likely to attract incremental institutional allocation in the next asset upcycle.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, amid the Iran war, S&P 500 futures liquidity has dropped to $5.1M, 61% below the historical average of $13M and near the lowest since April 2025. Goldman Sachs indicates liquidity below $7M signals market stress. Low liquidity means orders of a few million dollars can significantly move the index, amplifying institutional trading impact and increasing the risk of extreme volatility for investors.

Analysis: Liquidity in S&P 500 futures is 61% below the historical average, and orders worth millions of dollars can move the index.

Current, a capital efficiency layer protocol on Sui, has completed a new round of financing with participation from Sui Foundation, Comma3 Ventures, OKX Ventures, Bluefin, and Cetus. The specific amount raised was not disclosed. Current focuses on providing institutional-grade infrastructure for on-chain assets, enabling users to efficiently move, leverage, and maximize returns, addressing the issue of low capital utilization on-chain.

Current completes a new round of financing, with participation from the Sui Foundation and others.

Seedify.fund

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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