STA believes that initial signs of market recovery have emerged, with risk appetite rebounding slightly, but incremental capital remains limited. In the short term, bulls have the initiative, yet the long-standing tug of war between bulls and bears has not been broken. It is recommended to closely monitor the synchronized upward movement of key moving averages and trading volume; if daily closing prices continue to stabilize accompanied by a surge in volume, a short- to medium-term rebound trend may be established, with upward potential focused on previous high resistance levels. If there is a divergence between volume and price, caution is required against the risk of a rapid short-term correction driven by a quick retreat in optimism. The current strategy favors light positions, exploratory trades, and dynamic signal tracking, while avoiding chasing rallies or panicking during declines.

Recent analysis from on-chain data research institutions has identified signs of improvement in the overall atmosphere of the crypto market, as investors begin to refocus on risk assets. In this context, while substantial and sustained inflows of capital have yet to be observed, market sentiment as a whole has shifted from previous resistance and wait-and-see attitudes to tentative buying. This suggests that, in the short term, the tug of war between bulls and bears is tilting toward the bulls, but further confirmation is required by tracking the coordination between trading volume and price, in order to avoid the risk of a rapid correction after a brief period of optimism.

As sufficient candlestick indicator data is currently unavailable, it is difficult to clearly assess the status of key moving averages and momentum indicators. If, in the coming days, closing prices steadily stand above main moving averages along with expanding trading volume, this would suggest the short- to medium-term trend may gradually form; conversely, if trading volume fails to support the move, the optimism in sentiment may be only a technical rebound.

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