SDX is currently in a high-volatility consolidation pattern in the US stock market. In the short term, it benefits from improved risk appetite and capital inflows, and is expected to trade within a high volatility range. It is recommended to focus on the 6000-7200 points as the core resistance area. However, caution should be exercised regarding potential corrections in US stocks and marginal tightening of liquidity, which could impact short-term bullish positions. In the medium to long term, Federal Reserve monetary policy and the choice of the next chair become key variables determining valuation flexibility and liquidity. If dovish policies are implemented, SDX is likely to further expand its premium space; conversely, hawkish signals or uncertainty at the top level will increase adjustment risks. Trading strategies should dynamically adjust risk exposure, strictly control position sizes, and closely monitor macro policy events, with a preference for event-driven trend-following trades.

Recently, US stocks have been consolidating at high levels, with the S&P 500 nearing 7,000 points and recording eight consecutive months of gains, indicating strong market risk appetite. In this context, SDX, as a representative high-beta asset, is likely to benefit in the short term from the sustained inflow of capital into risk assets, and traders are more optimistic about high return expectations. At the same time, prolonged high consolidation in US stocks also brings correction risk. Should external shocks or tightening liquidity occur, short-term bullish momentum may quickly weaken, and increased volatility should be watched carefully.

Investors are currently highly focused on the upcoming Fed meeting minutes release and potential timing for rate cuts, while also evaluating the movements regarding the new Fed chair appointment. These factors will directly affect US dollar interest rates and global liquidity. If dovish expectations are confirmed, it will help propel valuation uplift in the digital asset sector; if policy signals are hawkish or the new chair selection creates uncertainty, it may lead to capital outflows from high-risk markets, thereby exerting pressure on the medium to long-term performance of SDX.

Steakd

Fed Rate Cut Bets Collapse as Jobs Data Shocks Markets; 10-year Treasury Yield Hits Critical Level

Trump: 178K new jobs and a 55% drop in trade deficit attributed to tariffs

"Federal Reserve Mouthpiece": Low Job Growth May Become the New Normal but Is Especially Vulnerable in the Context of War

"Federal Reserve Mouthpiece": Low Employment Growth May Become the New Normal but Especially Vulnerable in the Context of War

Next Week's Macro Outlook: The Iran War Will Continue to Dominate Market Sentiment, Fed Meeting Minutes Worth Watching

Next Week's Macro Outlook: Sixth Week of the War, Trump's Playbook is About to Collapse, CPI Will Surge, Gold Prices May Put on a Big Show

Market Holds Steady; US Jobs Data Exceeds Expectations

“Fed Whisperer”: Low employment growth may become the new normal, but it is especially vulnerable amid the backdrop of war.

Crypto Market Remains Range-Bound; US Jobs Report Exceeds Expectations

Institutions: The stronger-than-expected rebound in March non-farm payrolls demonstrates the resilience of the US labor market, with inflation currently being the core variable in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

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