SWM is currently benefiting from improving market sentiment and marginal liquidity recovery. In the short term, a technical rebound is possible, and it is advised to monitor the $0.21-0.24 zone for technical support and capital flows. However, under persistent macro cycle pressure and unstable overall trading activity, medium- to long-term correction risks remain. Structural liquidity divergence is substantial, so strict position control is recommended, with a focus on mainstream contracts favored by major funds, and avoidance of liquidity traps in small-cap tokens. In terms of operations, dynamically adjust stop-loss levels to guard against slippage risks caused by sharp volatility.

Signs of improvement have recently emerged in the crypto market, with investors' risk appetite recovering and short-term buying orders gradually entering, providing SWM with temporary support. If bullish sentiment continues to build within the current price fluctuation range, a technical rebound may be triggered, but it remains necessary to monitor the sustainability of trading volume to confirm trend continuation.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

With marginal improvement in overall market liquidity, short-term rebound momentum for SWM is strengthening, potentially ushering in a bottoming rally. However, based on observations of trading volume and fees, the medium- and long-term macro cycle remains weak. If major asset classes stay under pressure, medium- to long-term correction risks still exist, and investors should manage positions and stop-loss levels cautiously.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

Market liquidity is highly concentrated in a few hot contracts, while most contracts see scant trading volumes in the short term. This divergence means small-cap tokens are highly susceptible to sharp price swings due to liquidity gaps. SWM should monitor changes in capital concentration to avoid risks from liquidity exhaustion, depth deficiency, and slippage.

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