The recent trend of TIME demonstrates highly volatile characteristics driven by both loose liquidity and the revival of market risk appetite. Although the stage-specific inflow of endogenous funds pushed the price rapidly to a peak of 4.63, signals like negative funding rates in Bitcoin derivatives and declining open interest indicate a notable divergence in overall risk preferences, with most funds inclined to take profits. On-chain data shows spot holdings shifting from positive to negative, sell pressure continues to accumulate, and the 2.40 level under low trading volume acts as a key short-term support. If no new demand emerges, there is a risk that the price may test or even break below this level. Investors are advised to control their positions, strictly adhere to the 2.40 support level, and avoid blindly adding positions unless trading volume rebounds. It is recommended to wait for capital flows and market sentiment to stabilize before re-entering the market.

Since Q1, Ethereum's valuation relative to Bitcoin has rebounded and reached a three-month high, with ample supply of stablecoins boosting overall market liquidity significantly. Against a backdrop of loose money and revived risk appetite, TIME experienced a breakout on April 15, with daily trading volume surging over 66,000 and the price jumping from 2.18 to 4.63 in one move—making for a single-day increase of over 100%. This saw a spike in short-term bullish sentiment, quickly filling previous price gaps.

In Q1 2026, the Ethereum to Bitcoin price ratio (ETH/BTC) rebounded to 0.0313, a three-month high, indicating a recovery in the crypto market. Ethereum network users grew 82% year-on-year to 284,000, with transaction volume reaching 200.4 million. Stablecoin supply exceeded $180 billion, about 60% of the global market. Analysts suggest that if ETH/BTC closes above 0.035 weekly, it signals continued inflows into Ethereum and high-risk assets. Bitcoin remains above $74,000, supported by over $56 billion inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Analysis: Ethereum-Bitcoin price ratio rebounds, overall crypto market recovers

Despite a minor rebound for Bitcoin during the Asian session, the derivatives market maintains negative funding rates and perpetual contract open interest continues to decline, indicating overall risk appetite has not fully returned. From April 16 to 18, TIME swiftly retreated from its high, repeatedly testing key supports at 3.1 and 2.8 but failing to attract significant buying. Trading volumes kept shrinking, with intense short-term competition between bulls and bears, suggesting the market is entering a profit-taking phase after the rush to buy.

Bitcoin rose to around $74,935 during the Asian session, up 0.7% in 24 hours and 5.4% weekly, driven mainly by spot buying rather than broad risk appetite. Derivatives markets show caution: perpetual contract funding rates remain negative, open interest declines, and options indicate higher demand for downside protection. This suggests a rebound, not a trend reversal, amid ongoing risk aversion and cautious sentiment despite gains.

Analysis: Bitcoin strengthens along with US stocks, but the options market still bets on downside risk.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where price fluctuations may intensify due to negative gamma effects in the derivatives market. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, previously a major resistance in January. Breaking above $75,000 could accelerate the uptrend, while a decline may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range marks a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through a four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

On-chain data shows spot net holdings have turned negative, reflecting accumulating sell pressure. While regulated ETFs continue to attract long-term capital, their spillover effect on small-cap tokens remains limited. On April 20, TIME retested the 2.40–2.50 range, with trading volume dropping to less than a thousand tokens. Short-term support stands near 2.40, and if no effective buying emerges, there is risk of further downside.

TIME

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