WEN is currently in a bottoming phase under an environment of extreme fear. The 0.0000058–0.0000060 zone serves as a key support area. If this area holds firm and the price breaks above the 0.0000065–0.0000070 resistance area with rising volume, a technical rebound is likely in the short term. In the medium to long term, WEN is significantly driven by market risk appetite. Attention should be paid to the strength of Bitcoin's support at $64,000 and the continuation of rebounds in mainstream assets. If external risks are further released and institutional liquidity improves, WEN may see structural recovery, but the risk of a 'second wave of selling pressure' should not be ignored. It is advised to keep positions flexible and strictly control drawdowns when allocating assets.

Recently, crypto market sentiment has fallen into the extreme fear zone, which corresponds to WEN's rapid decline after peaking on February 17. WEN hit a low of 0.000005899 on February 23, forming a long lower shadow on the daily chart. The fear index suggests that selling pressure is peaking, and WEN's retest aligns with the period of extreme negative sentiment, indicating that investors began to bottom fish after previous heavy selling. On February 24-25, the price rebounded from the low to 0.00000632 accompanied by increasing volume, hinting that sidelines investors gradually entered the market in a fearful environment, providing initial support for the bottom area.

The current crypto market sentiment has dropped to an "extremely low" level, suggesting a potential formation of a "lasting bottom" as selling pressure wanes. Bitcoin's Fear and Greed Index shows signals of a phase bottom, indicating weakening sell momentum and stabilizing conditions, though short-term price declines remain possible. Historical data suggests extreme negative sentiment often offers attractive entry points, with technical rebounds likely after oversold conditions.

Analysis: Extreme market panic may indicate an approaching temporary turning point.

On the daily chart, WEN is currently in the short-term support zone of 0.0000058–0.0000060. If this area holds, downward selling pressure is expected to continue to be absorbed. The first resistance is around 0.0000068–0.0000070. Consecutive high-volume breakouts above this area could trigger a technical rally. Recent daily long lower wicks all came with increased volume, signaling a stop in the decline. For the rebound to be confirmed, the price needs to reclaim 0.0000065 with supporting volume, otherwise it may oscillate in the 0.0000060–0.0000065 range.

Amid the deep structural adjustments triggered by the AI wave, Bitcoin has found support at $64,000. Although large technology stocks have seen volatility, risk appetite as transmitted to crypto assets has stabilized. As a small-cap token, WEN is more sensitive to changes in macro risk appetite and may fluctuate in the short term alongside mainstream assets. If Bitcoin holds above its support and stages a rebound, a cautious return of institutional investors would improve liquidity, which could help WEN attain a reevaluation in mid-term value. However, caution is warranted for a renewed weakening of global risk appetite, which could pose a second wave of selling pressure for risk assets.

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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