AVL is driven by improved macro risk appetite, showing a clear short-term rebound. However, high short interest rates in mainstream coins combined with speculative sentiment and its small market cap attribute suggest intensified fluctuations and irrational risks in the near term. Technically, the 0.025~0.0265 range serves as the core support, while 0.028~0.030 acts as the main resistance. Current trading volume is low, and the overall market tone is inclined toward consolidation. Cautious chasing is advised, with attention to the effectiveness of support levels and changes in market sentiment. If regulatory and security conditions improve, AVL’s mid- to long-term fundamentals have room for re-rating; otherwise, systemic pullback risks remain.

Recently, global major asset risk appetite has risen significantly. Bitcoin and Ethereum have seen consecutive gains and substantial ETF net inflows, and the Fear & Greed Index has returned from the fear zone to neutral levels. This renewed risk appetite has spread to small-cap coins, with AVL hitting a short-term high of 0.03006 on April 24 and rebounding from previous lows, exhibiting a clear linkage with broader market sentiment.

Bitcoin rose 2% to $7,910 and Ethereum 3% to $2,388 amid easing geopolitical tensions, boosting Asian markets with Japan's Nikkei 225 and South Korea's Kospi hitting record highs. The US spot Bitcoin ETF saw $823.7 million net inflows for the fourth consecutive week. The crypto fear and greed index improved from 29 (fear) to 47 (neutral). Analyst Dominick John attributes gains to ETF inflows, technical breakthroughs, and reduced risk aversion.

Analyst: Both the crypto market and Asian stock markets rise amid easing geopolitical tensions.

Although mainstream coins have seen increased buying, short lending rates have continued to climb to multi-year highs, indicating ongoing bets on a subsequent pullback. High short positions in mainstream assets during accumulation phases could trigger sharp volatility and shakeouts in the short term. Against this backdrop, AVL and other small- to mid-cap assets are more susceptible to amplified swings amid uncertain trends, requiring vigilance against irrational volatility driven by sentiment.

The daily chart shows that since late March, AVL underwent a strong rally, peaking at 0.04145 on April 3 and then retracing to 0.025~0.027 during the past ten-plus trading days of narrow consolidation. Around 0.025 has repeatedly served as a stopping point for declines, while 0.028~0.030 has frequently acted as resistance. Trading volume has steadily declined from its peak, indicating that long and short positions are reassessing risk. Short-term consolidation is likely to prevail.

This week’s industry overview emphasized the profound impact of tightening oil supply, DeFi security, and regulatory uncertainties on market ecology. As an ecosystem token, AVL’s long-term trend depends closely on industry compliance progress and prevention of security incidents. Improvements in regulatory or security conditions could positively boost project fundamentals; conversely, systemic risks remain if challenges persist.

The Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424) highlights key insights from fast-moving news, covering macroeconomic trends like the looming physical oil supply shortage despite the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, investment and crypto market analyses including user geography and token strategies, and policy updates such as the uncertain passage of the CLARITY Act. It also addresses DeFi challenges, security incidents, and notable industry developments, offering a curated filter to retain valuable perspectives amid information overload.

Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424)

Aston Villa Fan Token

Summary of key points from Powell's last press conference as Chairman of the Federal Reserve.

Powell: Maintaining the interest rate unchanged is the right decision.

Powell: Commitment to reducing inflation to 2% remains unwavering

Powell: Dissenters on easing stance are not leaning towards rate hikes

Brad Conger: Internal Fed Disputes Set Tone for Future Policy, Hawks May Prevail

BREAKING: FED Chair Jerome Powell Holds a Press Conference Following the Interest Rate Decision – LIVE

Powell: No reason to believe policy will tighten significantly

Powell: Unable to Clearly Determine the Neutral Interest Rate

Powell will signal and take action if a rate hike is needed.

Analyst: Unexpected divisions within the Federal Reserve; worsening challenges expected after Wash's appointment

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