BASED is currently in a consolidation and bottom-building phase, with effective support at $0.13. The short-term trend shows higher highs and higher lows; if resistance in the $0.14-$0.15 range is broken with increased volume, the rebound is likely to continue. Market risk appetite is recovering, trading activity is rising, macro liquidity conditions are favorable, and the appeal of high-volatility assets for short-term trading is increasing. It is recommended to observe whether $0.13 support holds and if $0.15 is broken. If price and volume rise together, consider following the trend and increasing positions. Before resistance is broken, strictly control position sizes to guard against pullback risks.

On April 16, BASED surged explosively near $0.0856, reaching a peak of $0.3241 and closing at $0.1655, with trading volume soaring to 5.539 million units. Subsequently, the price pulled back to around $0.086 and quickly resumed its upward trajectory, forming a clear pattern of rising highs and higher lows. Recent closing prices have stabilized in the $0.137 to $0.138 range, reflecting strong support at $0.13 by the bulls. Short-term moving averages are trending upwards, though trading volume has not yet expanded consistently. Focus should be placed on whether resistance in the $0.14 to $0.15 range can be effectively broken.

In the past 24 hours, BASED has ranked among the hottest traded assets, with active trading and significant short-term buying interest. The overall crypto market sentiment has also warmed, as Bitcoin and Ethereum posted gains of 2% and 3% respectively. ETFs saw net inflows for the fourth consecutive week, totaling nearly $824 million, driving a marked increase in risk appetite. The Fear & Greed Index rose from 29 to a neutral level of 47, indicating enhanced market risk tolerance. Meanwhile, Bitcoin short interest rates climbed to as high as 11% and even 19%, suggesting the possibility of a short squeeze in the near term, which could trigger a second wave of volatility and fuel momentum chasing in high-volatility assets like BASED.

According to GMGN data reported by ChainCatcher, the top 5 trending tokens in the past 24 hours include HENRY (CJUr....ump) with a price of $0.0028, market cap of $2.74M, a 24h increase of +112,000%, and a trading volume of $20.13M across 225,407 transactions. Other notable tokens are TIME MACHINE, another HENRY variant, BASED, and BULL, all showing significant 24-hour gains and trading activity.

Data: GMGN Popular Sector HENRY 24h Increase Reaches +112K%

Bitcoin rose 2% to $7,910 and Ethereum 3% to $2,388 amid easing geopolitical tensions, boosting Asian markets with Japan's Nikkei 225 and South Korea's Kospi hitting record highs. The US spot Bitcoin ETF saw $823.7 million net inflows for the fourth consecutive week. The crypto fear and greed index improved from 29 (fear) to 47 (neutral). Analyst Dominick John attributes gains to ETF inflows, technical breakthroughs, and reduced risk aversion.

Analyst: Both the crypto market and Asian stock markets rise amid easing geopolitical tensions.

As the Middle East conflict enters its ninth week, major central banks will hold rate decisions this week, expected to maintain current levels while focusing on assessing geopolitical impacts on the economy. The wait-and-see stance on monetary policy helps maintain overall liquidity and supports short-term allocation to high-risk assets. Meanwhile, the discount for short-term Bitcoin holders has narrowed from -21.6% to -5.7%, and the seven-day average STH-SOPR has surpassed 1, indicating a significant easing of short-term selling pressure. Although the overall price has not yet broken through the $83,000 cost area, risk appetite is gradually recovering, providing a supportive macro environment for BASED's continued trend.

ChainCatcher reports that Bitcoin short-term holders' discount has narrowed from -21.6% to -5.7%, with the STH-SOPR 7-day average rising above 1, indicating short-term sellers are no longer clearly at a loss. However, the current price remains below the $83,000 cost basis, suggesting the market has not yet entered a true risk-on phase.

Data: Analysis: Short-term Bitcoin holders' discount narrows, market warms up but risk appetite has not yet started.

Danske Bank analyst Asger Wilhelm Dalsjo highlights that with the Middle East conflict entering its ninth week, central banks will assess its current and future economic impacts. This week, the Bank of Japan, Bank of Canada, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and European Central Bank will hold policy meetings. While all are expected to keep interest rates unchanged, their evaluations of the conflict's economic effects will be closely watched, making monetary policy decisions the main market driver.

Analyst: Interest rate decision will be the main market driver, focus on the impact of Middle East conflict.

Basedmilio

Fed leaves rates unchanged at Jerome Powell's final meeting as chairman

The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates before April 2027 has increased to 25%.

BREAKING: The Fed Announces Its Highly Anticipated Interest Rate Decision – Here’s Bitcoin’s Initial Reaction

The Federal Reserve maintains the policy interest rate unchanged, with a low possibility of a short-term rate cut.

Following the release of the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy, short-term U.S. interest rate futures continue to reflect a low probability of interest rate cuts this year.

Just Minutes to Go: The Fed Is Set to Announce Its Interest Rate Decision – Here Are the Latest Forecasts

Federal Reserve officials left interest rates unchanged, but revealed a deepening division over the outlook for policy amid increased uncertainty caused by the conflict in the Middle East.

The Federal Reserve FOMC statement will assess new data to adjust interest rates.

The Federal Reserve described inflation as "elevated," pointing out the impact of global energy prices.

The Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged, and the US Dollar Index briefly rises to 98.88.

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