Driven by the easing of U.S.-Iran tensions and the Federal Reserve's hawkish signals, MOG completed a phased rebound in mid-April, with the price rising from 1.28×10⁻⁷ to 1.50×10⁻⁷. Trading volume expanded significantly, reflecting accelerated entry of bullish capital. The short-term trend depends on whether risk appetite persists. If bullish sentiment continues to rise, attention should be paid to the opportunity to break through the 1.50×10⁻⁷ resistance level, but investors need to remain flexible towards macro volatility. In the medium and long term, ETF-related expectations are constructive, and attention should continuously focus on the progress of ETF approvals and capital inflows, which could potentially enhance MOG’s liquidity and valuation base. Investors may consider phased allocations, integrating both fundamentals and event-driven strategies.

Recently, the easing of U.S.-Iran tensions combined with hawkish remarks from the Federal Reserve have led to a phased recovery in risk assets. Growth stocks, especially in the AI sector, staged a strong rebound in the U.S. stock market, transmitting clear positive momentum to the crypto market. On April 12, MOG's price hit a monthly low of 1.28×10⁻⁷. With the overall risk sentiment recovering, MOG posted four consecutive days of gains from April 13 to 16, with a cumulative increase of over 14% and a peak at 1.50×10⁻⁷. Trading volume also surged from 3.4×10¹¹ to 1.92×10¹², showing strong willingness from bullish buyers to enter the market. In the short term, if risk appetite persists, MOG could continue to test the previous high around 1.50×10⁻⁷. However, investors should remain cautious regarding potential disturbances from overall market volatility.

The enthusiasm for crypto ETF filings remains high, and the market holds expectations for the launch of MOG-related products. Although recent focus has been on the ETF applications of other well-known meme tokens, some institutions have previously filed for an MOG ETF. This means that if regulatory approval accelerates in the future, MOG could attract both institutional and retail inflows through ETF products, further enhancing liquidity and market capitalization. In the medium to long term, the implementation of such structured products can effectively improve MOG's investor base and price discovery mechanism, facilitating the token’s value to gradually return to its fundamental valuation.

Canary Capital has submitted an S-1 filing to the U.S. SEC to list an ETF tracking the spot price of the PEPE token. Launched in April 2023 with a total supply exceeding 4.2 quadrillion coins, PEPE is described as a meme coin with no utility. Canary previously filed ETF applications tracking MOG and Pengu prices last year.

Canary Capital has submitted an application for a spot PEPE ETF to the US SEC.

Mog Coin

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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