SSV has recently been boosted by market sentiment, with short-term momentum significantly strengthened. Bullish funds are actively positioning, and the price rapidly broke through $2.65, reaching up to $2.78. Key resistance is noted in the $2.80–3.00 range, with strong support seen at $2.30–2.25; if broken, there is a risk of a pullback to $2.15. Technically, the bullish trend is initially established, but the sustainability of volume needs confirmation. In the medium to long term, indicators such as MVRV Z-Score, SOPR, and ETF capital flow signals all show ample liquidity, and the bullish pattern remains unchanged. Strategically, it is recommended to wait for the alignment of at least three core indicators, avoid blindly chasing highs, and focus on seizing opportunities at key support areas.

Bitcoin has recently climbed back to a four-week high, boosting sentiment in the crypto market. During this period, SSV saw consecutive surges in volume on April 16 and 17, with the price rapidly climbing from around $2.30 to $2.78, reflecting a more than 20% increase over two days. Trading volume also expanded significantly in this range, indicating that short-term bullish capital is actively entering. However, as Bitcoin approaches the key 'volatility release point' near $75,000, negative gamma effects in the derivatives market may intensify price swings. If the broader market pulls back, SSV may also face simultaneous downside pressure.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

The daily chart shows that SSV has recently broken through the previous high of $2.65, with the primary short-term resistance located in the $2.80–3.00 range; key support is seen around $2.30–2.25, and if lost, there is potential to test the $2.15 level. The Bollinger Bands are expanding upward, and with the price breaking above the middle band, the bullish trend is established; however, sustained trading volume is necessary to maintain strength. If Bitcoin fails to stably hold above key resistance, the market may enter a minor pullback, at which point the effectiveness of support in the aforementioned areas should be monitored.

Latest research indicates that relying solely on traditional forecasting models is no longer sufficient to capture market turning points; it is necessary to combine four key indicators: MVRV Z-Score, 28-day average SOPR, ETF net inflows, and macro liquidity. It is recommended to wait for at least three signals to converge before positioning. Currently, the macro liquidity environment remains loose, with continued ETF net inflows fueling market expansion. SOPR and MVRV Z-Score remain in the bullish range, providing liquidity and sentiment support for medium to long-term SSV holding. However, investors should wait for signals to become clearer to reduce the risk of chasing highs.

SSV Network

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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SSV price today is 2.71, with a live price change of 4.69 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade SSV on Bybit-eu.

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