Currently, FDUSD is benefiting in the short term from a rebound in liquidity, with existing market funds driving slight expansions in its demand and trading depth. However, from a mid- to long-term perspective, ongoing sluggish trading volumes and low on-chain fee rates reflect macro bear market pressures, and the supply side of FDUSD may face risks of concentrated redemptions and peg fluctuations. In the short term, flexible deployment of range arbitrage and hedging strategies is advised, with close attention to mint-redeem spreads and changes in funding rates. Leverage exposure should be strictly controlled. If trading activity does not see meaningful recovery, positions should be promptly reduced to lock in profits and guard against systemic downside risks.

Recently, market liquidity has improved and funding conditions have become more accommodative, leading traders to expect a bottom rebound. Rising liquidity is typically accompanied by increased stablecoin demand, and FDUSD, as a hedging and arbitrage tool, is likely to experience renewed minting demand and an inflow of pegged funds in the short term. At this stage, speculative capital is more inclined to utilize FDUSD to enter the market, prompting slight expansions on its supply side and trading depth.

Despite the recovery in liquidity, overall trading volume and on-chain fee levels remain relatively low, indicating that true market activity has not yet returned. In the long run, the sustained contraction of funding rates and matching fees reflects a structurally bearish macro cycle. Against this backdrop, the supply of stablecoins may face pressure, and FDUSD’s mid-to-long-term demand lacks strong support. If market risk aversion rises again, risks such as concentrated redemptions and increased premium volatility may emerge.

Taking into account both short-term liquidity and mid-to-long-term trading signals, it is advisable to focus on the mint-redeem spread and changes in funding rates for FDUSD. During liquidity windows, range arbitrage or pegged hedge trading strategies can be used to capture swing profits. However, attention must be paid to macro trend reversal risks. If trading volume and fee rates continue to decline, leverage should be promptly reduced and profits locked in to mitigate the risk of redemption-induced disturbances to the peg.

First Digital USD

UBS: Still expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points later this year.

China expected to keep benchmark lending rates steady after strong GDP data

The European Central Bank will raise interest rates in June as the Iran war drives inflation higher this year, a Bloomberg survey showed.

Important news from last night and this morning (April 16 - April 17).

Bank of Japan Governor: We need to simultaneously address rising energy prices and economic downturn risks; policy-making is very difficult at this stage.

BOJ chief avoids hints of April rate hike, shattering hawkish market bets

ECB policymakers play down April rate hike chances

Declining energy prices have moved the euro-zone economy back toward the European Central Bank’s base case and may mean interest-rate increases aren’t needed, according to Governing Council member Primoz Dolenc.

Fed’s John Williams Signals Support for Holding Rates Steady Ahead of FOMC Meeting

Israeli envoy warns of reaction if threatened, straining Israel-Iran relations

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FDUSD price today is 1.00, with a live price change of 0.02 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade FDUSD on Bybit-eu.

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