IO has demonstrated a solid bottom and resilient rebound amid recent deleveraging and DeFi risk shocks, reflecting that institutional and core investor confidence in holdings has not been significantly weakened. On the technical side, the $0.121–$0.123 range is established as a key support zone; if stabilized, IO may challenge $0.13 and higher resistance levels in the short term. Macro and regulatory factors remain the primary drivers for medium- to long-term valuation. It is advisable to closely monitor external capital flows and policy developments, maintain allocation, buy on dips, and dynamically track structural changes in compliance and capital games.

In mid-April, the price of IO broke out from the $0.103 area, with daily trading volume surging to nearly 7.5 million tokens, propelling the price above the key $0.12 mark and ultimately reaching over $0.13. In the Bitcoin futures market, there was first a healthy round of large-scale short liquidations and position unwinding, followed by heightened funding rates and expectations of potential short squeezes, which boosted market risk appetite and triggered a rotation into altcoins including IO. On the technical front, after breaking previous highs, the price has consolidated at elevated levels for several days. Short-term attention should be paid to whether $0.121–$0.123 support can hold, which will determine if the next target will be $0.13 or even $0.135.

On April 17, the BTC futures market experienced a $526 million short liquidation in a single day, with open interest (OI) decreasing from a peak of 319,499 BTC to 293,045 BTC, indicating a healthy deleveraging phase. The liquidation dominance indicator turned positive after two weeks of negative values, signaling the end of systemic short squeezes. The price remains stable around $75,000-$76,000 with OI contraction, suggesting a cooling period rather than overheating.

Analyst: After experiencing a peak in liquidations, the BTC contract market has entered a healthy deleveraging phase, with the contraction in open interest signaling positive momentum.

On April 23, analyst Murphy noted that BTC price rose to around $79,000 with futures open interest (OI) reaching 472,000 BTC, indicating high market leverage. Short sellers paid funding fees up to $604,000 per hour, significantly above the 7-day average. High OI combined with negative premiums suggests a potential short squeeze if prices rebound, making it an unfavorable time to open short positions based on past similar conditions.

Analyst: BTC short funding costs are high, open interest has returned to a high level, making it not an ideal time to open short positions.

According to analyst Murphy, BTC price has risen to around $79,000 with futures open interest (OI) reaching a recent high of 472,000 BTC, indicating increased market leverage. Short sellers are paying high funding fees, averaging $604,000 per hour, well above the 7-day average. High OI and negative premiums suggest that a price rebound could force shorts to cover, triggering a short squeeze. Historically, similar conditions led to rebounds, making current short positions unfavorable.

Data, Analyst: BTC short funding costs remain high, OI returns to a high point, currently not an ideal time to open short positions.

Recent security incidents in the DeFi sector have reignited industry concerns, with some protocol tokens coming under pressure and retreating. However, IO has remained above $0.12 even after these events, indicating that strong participation by its community and institutional users has granted it notable resilience during the market's 'survival of the fittest' phase. At the same time, Web3 summits have emphasized that the industry is entering a more stringent growth phase, where only projects with core value and a compliance foundation can attract lasting capital attention. IO’s current trading structure and capital flows show that although short-term speculative sentiment can fluctuate, medium- and long-term value investors’ willingness to hold has not wavered significantly.

The aftershocks of the KelpDAO hacker attack continue to impact the crypto sector, with Aave and DeFi partners addressing the fallout. Meanwhile, the Hong Kong Web3 conference highlights the industry's shift into a challenging growth phase, filtering out casual investors and emphasizing deep engagement. Key developments include major institutional Bitcoin purchases, new product launches, regulatory updates, and the rise of AI-driven innovations reshaping crypto and finance.

A Week in Review | The aftershocks of the KelpDAO incident continue, while the Hong Kong Web3 conference leads this week's core narrative.

In the current global macroenvironment, risks to physical energy supply and geopolitical uncertainties have heightened overall market volatility. Meanwhile, policy dynamics (such as pending legislative reviews) remain key variables for the future pricing of crypto assets. Within this context, IO’s ability to sustain its value will depend on overall market risk appetite as well as the pace at which regulatory dividends are achieved. Recent days have seen some price retreat, but with noticeably declining trading volume, reflecting that the long-short battle is entering a consolidation phase. The room for long-term upside will depend on the strength of macro capital reallocation and the advancement of compliance processes.

io.net

Fed: Leadership uncertainty shapes Dollar outlook – DBS

Allianz Chief Economic Advisor: Middle East Shock Drives Global Central Banks into a "Higher for Longer" Interest Rate Environment

Analyst: Interest rate decision will be the main market driver, focus on the impact of Middle East conflict.

US Treasury yields rise, market focuses on this week's central bank meetings.

Barclays: The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged this week, but may still cut rates within the year.

Bank of England to keep rates on hold while it gauges impact of Iran war

The Bank of Japan is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Tuesday, setting up a communication challenge for Governor Kazuo Ueda as the foundering yen hovers near levels that have prompted past interventions.

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 100%, while the probability of a rate cut in June is only 4.7%.

HTX DeepThink: After Interest Rate Cut Expectations Are Postponed to September, the Structural Differentiation of the Crypto Market Intensifies

FOMC Meeting: US Fed Expected To Hold Rates Till 2027 Despite Kevin Warsh Taking Charge

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