KAITO's recent gains have been constrained by high-level profit-taking and short-term supply pressure from a major token unlock on April 20th. The $0.50 mark serves as a significant resistance level, while $0.44 acts as a key support. If this support fails, the price could further dip into the $0.42-$0.40 range. Given the increase in active selling and the current context of tightening macro liquidity and regulatory uncertainty, a cautious short-term stance is advised. Watch the market's absorption capacity around the unlock period; if trading volumes decrease and the price stabilizes around support, a gradual mid-term position build-up could be considered, otherwise it’s better to wait for risks to be released before intervening.

Over the past month, KAITO's price has steadily climbed from around $0.35, reaching above $0.50 on April 17th, demonstrating a concentrated surge of buying interest. However, following this uptrend, a significant pullback occurred on April 18th with an intraday drawdown exceeding 10%, accompanied by increased trading volume descending to $0.44. This indicates that short-term profit-taking pressure was realized at high levels. Overall, the bulls still dominate, but after such a surge and retracement at highs, caution is warranted for possible heightened sentiment volatility.

Bitcoin recently surpassed $75,000 for the first time in 73 days, facing resistance near $78,000 with $74,000 seen as a critical support level for further gains. Market views diverge: bears cite weak macro liquidity and reliance on short-covering, while bulls highlight strong whale accumulation and potential breakthroughs above key moving averages. The broader market shows mixed signals amid geopolitical developments and fluctuating investor sentiment.

Trading moment: BTC encountered resistance at 78K, and it needs to hold 74K to aim for a breakthrough.

According to on-chain data platforms, approximately 12.11 million KAITO tokens (worth nearly $4.86 million) will be unlocked on April 20th. This concentrated release constitutes a certain percentage of the existing circulating supply and is expected to increase market selling pressure in the short term around the unlock date, testing the buyers’ absorption capacity. If unlocked tokens are heavily sold, this will exert significant price suppression. However, continued monitoring is needed to gauge the support from long-term holders’ conviction and the project’s fundamental progress.

According to ChainCatcher and Web3 asset data platform RootData, Kaito (KAITO) will unlock approximately 12.11 million tokens valued at about 4.86 million USD on April 20 at 12:00 Beijing time.

RootData: KAITO will unlock tokens worth approximately $4.86 million in one week.

From the daily chart perspective, the $0.50 level acts as a strong short-term resistance, repeatedly triggering pullbacks upon testing. $0.44 is the primary support level; if it breaks, the next zones to watch are around $0.42 and $0.40 as secondary and tertiary support. Recently, the retreat from highs has been accompanied by expanded trading volume, indicating active selling. If the price stabilizes in the support zone, there is a chance to resume an oscillating upward trend; otherwise, further downside risk must be considered.

Against the backdrop of Bitcoin rebounding and reclaiming the $75,000 mark, overall sentiment on platforms has provided positive feedback to altcoins. However, factors such as tight macro liquidity, geopolitical risk, and regulatory uncertainty continue to impact small and mid-cap assets. In the near term, momentum-driven chasing persists, but if mainstream assets undergo a further pullback or if risk events emerge, investor risk appetite may quickly shrink, intensifying KAITO's volatility. Close attention should be paid to market trends and external developments.

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KAITO price today is 0.46, with a live price change of -3.44 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade KAITO on Bybit-eu.

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