Recently, after a relaxation of geopolitical conflicts, risk appetite recovered and drove the price of SD to rebound rapidly from the 0.128-0.130 range, testing the resistance at 0.150. Although short-term selling pressure emerged as retail investors took profits, the return of mainstream asset funds and an overall improvement in market risk sentiment are expected to attract mid- to long-term incremental capital given SD’s low market cap and high liquidity advantages. Strategically, it is recommended to watch the 0.128 level as a key risk point; as long as this level holds, SD is likely to rely on its bullish structure to gradually challenge the 0.155 area and above, while in the short term remain alert to profit-taking in the 0.150-0.155 range.

Early this week, escalating tensions in the Gulf region heightened market risk aversion. On the macro level, demand for put options far exceeded calls, reflecting investor concerns over downside risk; in this context, SD's price oscillated downward from around 0.137 and briefly tested the important 0.128 support. Although trading volume slightly increased during the pullback, bullish enthusiasm weakened significantly, making short-term sentiment cautious.

STS Digital CEO Maxime Seiler reports that Bitcoin traders are increasingly seeking downside protection, with demand for put options significantly exceeding calls, indicating market panic. Bitcoin trades just above $70,000 after a recent nearly 4% drop triggered by geopolitical tensions, including U.S. naval actions near Iran and rising oil prices above $100 per barrel, which heighten inflation concerns ahead of upcoming central bank meetings.

STS Digital: Bitcoin bearish sentiment intensifies, options market shows investors seeking downside protection

As ceasefire progress in the Middle East and US-Iran talks advanced, geopolitical risks eased significantly, which in turn boosted global risk appetite, sending Bitcoin back above $74,000 and lifting risk assets across the board. Against this backdrop, SD swiftly rebounded after holding the 0.128–0.130 support range on April 14, broke above 0.136 on high volume on April 16, and surged to a peak of 0.1503 the next day. This rally was accompanied by a significant volume increase, temporarily confirming bullish technical signals. However, there remains short-term profit-taking pressure in the 0.150—0.155 zone above.

Recently, smaller Ethereum holders have been cashing out, highlighting retail investors’ caution over short-term corrections and creating some immediate selling pressure. However, SD’s small market cap means it is more agile in absorbing new risk-on capital due to greater liquidity swings. As the overall bullish market atmosphere persists, short-term selling has the potential to transform into buying opportunities for mid- to long-term capital. If the 0.128 support level continues to hold effectively, the probability of re-testing 0.155 or even higher price zones will gradually increase.

Santiment reported that amid recent market gains, small retail investors are selling significant amounts of Ethereum, with wallets holding 0.01 ETH or less reducing by 1,791 ETH (worth $4.16 million) in two days. The public perceives the 17% rise since March 29 as a bull trap, which ironically may strengthen the likelihood of the ongoing bullish momentum continuing.

Santiment: The general market believes the recent rise is a bull trap, but the bullish momentum may continue.

Stader

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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SD price today is 0.16, with a live price change of 20.75 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade SD on Bybit-eu.

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