Currently, positive market sentiment is driving up interest in the stablecoin sector, and TZU is likely to benefit from increased trading volume in the short term. However, considering macro policy fluctuations and pressure from the A-share market, the price of TZU may be unstable. It is recommended that investors gradually shift their focus to value storage and manage position risks as market speculation subsides. Attention should be paid to global interest rates and the trends of major coins for potential medium- to long-term allocation opportunities. If the demand for stablecoins continues to grow and compliance accelerates, TZU will be able to solidify its role as a value store due to its ecosystem advantages.

• Throughout the day, the stablecoin concept in the A-share market remained highly active, with multiple related stocks hitting their daily limit for several days and trading enthusiasm rising noticeably.

• This sentiment spillover has extended into the digital asset market, boosting short-term trading interest and volume for TZU.

• As investor demand for stablecoin-like assets is sharply released, TZU may experience a surge in trading volume in the short term.

1. Overall trend: The A-share market opened lower and rebounded throughout the day, with the three major indices rising slightly. Most individual stocks gained, with over 3,400 stocks in Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing turning red; today's trading volume reached 1.24 trillion. By the close, the Shanghai Composite rose 0.35%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased 0.41%, and the ChiNext Index gained 0.66%.  
2. Industry sectors: Stablecoins, oil and gas, IP economy, and 3D printing sectors led the gains, while precious metals, military industry, medical and healthcare, and civil aviation airports sectors saw declines.  
3. Popular concepts: Stablecoin concept stocks surged again, with more than ten stocks including Hang Seng Electronics, Sifang Jingchuang, Hengbao Shares, and Hailian Jinhui hitting the daily limit. Oil and gas stocks surged then pulled back; stocks like Shandong Molong, Zhunyou Shares, Beiken Energy, and Taishan Petroleum hit the limit-up. The IP economy concept continued its strong momentum, driving branches like 3D printing to perform well, with Yuanlong Yatu, Disu Fashion, Golden Orange, and Haizheng Shengcai hitting the daily limit.

The Shanghai Composite Index rebounded with a decrease in volume, rising by 0.35%, while stablecoin concept stocks surged again.

On June 23, data from Tonghuashun revealed that stablecoin-related stocks were active in the A-share market. The top six stocks on Tonghuashun's hot list in the past hour were all related to stablecoins, including Hengbao Co., Sifang Jingchuang, Annie Co., Chutianlong, Dongxin He Ping, and Lakala, with daily gains of 9.39%, 14.28%, 9.97%, 9.04%, 2.49%, and 11.59%, respectively.

Data: The top 6 stocks in the recent 1-hour hot list on Tonghuashun are all related to stablecoin concepts.

• With Bitcoin fluctuating by 7.12% in the range of approximately $110,530 to $102,664, it is evident that overall market risk appetite is still dynamically adjusting.

• The anticipated Fed rate decision (potential rate cut in September) provides possible support for mainstream assets, but short-term uncertainties may increase overall market volatility.

• As the market shifts from speculation to value storage, the stablecoin sector may benefit, and TZU could see sustained allocation demand in the medium to long term.

From June 9 to June 16, Bitcoin experienced fluctuations between approximately $110,530 and $102,664, with a volatility of around 7.12%. The market is closely watching the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decision, with expectations of a potential rate cut in September. Despite geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin's resilience is noted, attributed to institutional accumulation and ETF inflows. The market is transitioning from a speculative phase to one driven by long-term value storage, indicating a structural shift in ownership dynamics.

Week 23 On-chain Data: How do ETFs and on-chain whales rewrite the supply and demand rules for BTC?

• Despite favorable short-term market sentiment, uncertainties brought by macro policies and sector rotation should be closely watched, as they may exacerbate TZU price volatility.

• Investors need to pay close attention to global interest rate trends and the transmission effect of major coins' performance on the stablecoin sector, in order to manage position risks.

• From a medium- to long-term perspective, if demand for stablecoins continues to grow and compliance accelerates, TZU is expected to consolidate its value storage feature through ecosystem advantages.

Sun Tzu

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US: Energy shock complicates Fed path – Commerzbank

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