Affected by regulatory pressure, RWAI is showing obvious wait-and-see and panic sentiment in the short term, with shrinking trading volume and limited upside volatility. Key focus should be placed on the support strength in the $0.85–$1.00 range. Currently, it is recommended to maintain defensive positions and wait for regulatory clarity or project information disclosures. In the medium to long term, if RWAI can achieve a compliant structure and transparent auditing, and find breakthroughs in offshore markets such as Hong Kong and Singapore, institutional allocation logic will resume. Investment strategies should focus on regulatory progress and the underlying asset quality, and opportunistically increase positions in value depressions.

Recently, a risk warning targeting RWA tokenization has pushed market sentiment towards caution. From the Bybit platform’s candlesticks, the RWAI price has consolidated around major moving averages, and trading volume has obviously shrunk. Typical panic sentiment intertwines with both bullish and bearish wait-and-see attitudes. In this environment, short-term selling pressure may further intensify, and the market may repeatedly test key support levels, waiting for new regulatory or project developments to guide sentiment.

Although Mainland China has set high barriers for RWA tokenization and bans financial institutions from participating, offshore markets such as Hong Kong and Singapore still offer compliant access points. For RWAI, if it can establish its underlying asset and trustee structures in legally clear jurisdictions, it is expected to restore market confidence. Looking at the medium to long term, project teams need to focus on audit disclosure of compliance transparency and the authenticity of underlying assets to earn institutional and high-net-worth asset allocation demand, thereby activating value investing logic.

RWAI by Virtuals

British Pound: Growth slowdown and BoE tightening – BNP Paribas

Norwegian Krone: Norges Bank's surprise hike and risk support – HSBC

Eurozone: Higher inflation and ECB hikes projected – BNP Paribas

Brazilian economists raised their interest rate forecast for next year as inflation comes under pressure from resilient domestic demand and an energy shock caused by the Iran war.

Japanese Yen: Intervention and BoJ policy in focus – HSBC

Fed: Extended pause before late 2026 cut – UOB

2024–2026: Asset repricing amid persistently high interest rates

Mitsubishi UFJ: Stalemate in US-Iran negotiations intensifies inflation concerns, causing gold prices to drop.

Koehler: Unless the situation significantly improves, interest rate hikes are inevitable.

The European Central Bank will raise interest rates twice this year as the Iran war drives inflation higher, a Bloomberg survey shows.

Bybit-eu

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