ALICE triggered a surge in risk appetite due to the easing of geopolitical risks, resulting in a rapid price doubling and high trading volume in the short term. However, the technical resistance at $0.26 is evident; after profit-taking by bulls, the price has retreated to the $0.15–$0.17 range, and short-term volatility has intensified. In the medium to long term, if ALICE firmly holds $0.16 and breaks through the $0.18–$0.20 range, it will attract new allocations. It is recommended to watch for marginal changes in liquidity and developments in NFT/metaverse applications. The current strategy is to sell high and buy low within the range, and only add positions following a clear breakout signal.

On April 18, ALICE contract saw single-day trading volume soar to $221 million, with price quickly spiking from $0.126 to $0.261 amid a massive bull influx. This sharp rally coincided with ceasefire progress in the Middle East and a breakthrough in US-Iran negotiations, easing risk-off sentiment. Global risk assets strengthened across the board, led by technology and AI sectors, and the digital currency market benefited simultaneously. In the near term, market risk appetite rose significantly, driving explosive rallies in ALICE and other highly volatile assets.

The Middle East ceasefire and US-Iran nuclear talks progress have eased geopolitical risks, pressuring oil prices and boosting global risk assets. The Nasdaq set a record 12-day winning streak, with tech and AI sectors attracting capital. Bitcoin rebounded above $74,000 amid steady ETF flows and balanced leverage liquidations. However, Democratic opposition delays Fed nominee Wash's hearing, increasing leadership uncertainty and market volatility risks.

Bitget UEX Daily Report | Hopes for Middle East Peace Rise, Nasdaq Hits Record 12 Consecutive Gains, Anthropic Releases New AI Model

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

The crypto market sector saw widespread gains, with the AI sector leading with a 12.48% increase in 24 hours. Notably, Siren (SIREN) rose 92.70%, and SkyAI (SKYAI) increased by 32.37%. Meanwhile, Bitcoin (BTC) fell 0.14%, remaining near $74,000, and Ethereum (ETH) dropped 1.12%, falling just above $2,300.

The cryptocurrency market sector broadly rose, with the AI sector leading gains of over 12%.

After rapidly reaching its historic high, ALICE formed a long upper shadow candle and the price quickly retreated to the $0.15–$0.17 range. Trading volume dropped from its peak to around $50 million, indicating that profit-taking pressure from bulls had emerged. There is intensifying market divergence over macro liquidity—some believe tightening liquidity could suppress crypto assets, while others point to continued accumulation by large traders, resulting in short-term tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Technically, the area near $0.26 acts as strong resistance, while $0.14–$0.15 serves as short-term support.

Bitcoin recently surpassed $75,000 for the first time in 73 days, facing resistance near $78,000 with $74,000 seen as a critical support level for further gains. Market views diverge: bears cite weak macro liquidity and reliance on short-covering, while bulls highlight strong whale accumulation and potential breakthroughs above key moving averages. The broader market shows mixed signals amid geopolitical developments and fluctuating investor sentiment.

Trading moment: BTC encountered resistance at 78K, and it needs to hold 74K to aim for a breakthrough.

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes states the crypto market is currently in a "no-trade zone," with his fund Maelstrom making almost no trades in Q1 due to lack of clear direction. He warns AI will disrupt white-collar jobs, causing deflationary financial collapse, while tensions in the Hormuz Strait amid US-Iran conflict are key market variables. Hayes outlines three scenarios involving war outcomes, AI impact, and shifts in global financial and energy systems.

Arthur Hayes: The crypto market is currently in a "no-trade zone," with the AI unemployment wave and the situation in the Strait of Hormuz as key variables.

The Ethereum-to-Bitcoin price ratio has rebounded to the March high of 0.0313, and stablecoin supply exceeds $180 billion, indicating an upward turn in market liquidity. Meanwhile, actions such as Bitcoin ETF inflows and institutional accumulation continue, strengthening the case for high-risk asset allocations. If ALICE can hold the $0.16 level and break through the $0.18–$0.20 range with increased volume, it would signal solid medium- to long-term capital commitment. Investors should focus on the evolution of macro liquidity as well as ongoing NFT/metaverse application developments for fundamental support.

In Q1 2026, the Ethereum to Bitcoin price ratio (ETH/BTC) rebounded to 0.0313, a three-month high, indicating a recovery in the crypto market. Ethereum network users grew 82% year-on-year to 284,000, with transaction volume reaching 200.4 million. Stablecoin supply exceeded $180 billion, about 60% of the global market. Analysts suggest that if ETH/BTC closes above 0.035 weekly, it signals continued inflows into Ethereum and high-risk assets. Bitcoin remains above $74,000, supported by over $56 billion inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Analysis: Ethereum-Bitcoin price ratio rebounds, overall crypto market recovers

Alice

Insiders: The Bank of Japan is inclined not to raise interest rates in April but will maintain a tightening stance.

EUR/USD: Foreign inflows support upside potential – ING

Summary of Wash's Past Statements: How Will This Prospective "New Leader" Disrupt the Federal Reserve?

Gold: Inflation and Fed risks cap upside – ING

ECB: Lagarde Signals No Near-Term Rate Move – Danske Bank

Nikkei: Bank of Japan to hold rates steady in April

Fed Chair Nominee Kevin Warsh Vows Fed Independence Despite Trump’s Push for Rate Cuts

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April has reached 100%.

US Treasuries are still pricing in a war in the Middle East that other asset classes have shrugged off, setting up a drop in yields as they catch up, according to Bank of America.

Lagarde: Broad fiscal support will force the European Central Bank to raise key interest rates.

Bybit-eu

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Alice Price: ALICE Live Price Today | ALICE Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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