The current CDAI market benefits from improving sentiment and healthy expansion driven by Bitcoin spot activity. Capital allocation is becoming more prudent, providing a foundation for medium- to long-term value re-rating. In the short term, upward momentum is expected to continue, but caution is warranted regarding negative divergence between certain technical indicators and price. If bullish capital momentum fails to sustain, a pullback risk may be triggered. Recommendation: Medium- and long-term holders may consider moderate position increases, closely monitoring CDAI's performance in the key resistance zone of $0.24–$0.26. For short-term trading, closely track trading volume and sentiment reversal signals, and avoid blindly chasing rallies at high levels.

The crypto market has recently shown initial signs of improvement, with participants gaining confidence in bullish momentum. In the short term, as sentiment gradually improves, CDAI is expected to receive more buying support, but attention should still be paid to changes in trading volume to confirm the sustainability.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

The Bitcoin market has shifted from a deleveraging phase to a moderate expansion stage, with spot-driven upward structure reducing liquidation risk. Against this backdrop, capital allocation is becoming more prudent; in the medium to long term, this favors value re-rating for high-quality tokens like CDAI and helps attract incremental capital.

Although the expansion pattern is healthy, some indicators are showing negative divergence from price. Should bullish momentum fail to secure continued new capital support, the market could experience a rapid pullback. Short-term traders should focus on key resistance levels and premium rates, guarding against sudden sentiment reversals and resulting volatility.

cDAI

British Pound: Growth slowdown and BoE tightening – BNP Paribas

Norwegian Krone: Norges Bank's surprise hike and risk support – HSBC

Eurozone: Higher inflation and ECB hikes projected – BNP Paribas

Brazilian economists raised their interest rate forecast for next year as inflation comes under pressure from resilient domestic demand and an energy shock caused by the Iran war.

Japanese Yen: Intervention and BoJ policy in focus – HSBC

Fed: Extended pause before late 2026 cut – UOB

2024–2026: Asset repricing amid persistently high interest rates

Mitsubishi UFJ: Stalemate in US-Iran negotiations intensifies inflation concerns, causing gold prices to drop.

Koehler: Unless the situation significantly improves, interest rate hikes are inevitable.

The European Central Bank will raise interest rates twice this year as the Iran war drives inflation higher, a Bloomberg survey shows.

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