Under the resonance of macro headwinds digestion and liquidity recovery, the staged rebound momentum of FIGHT has been significantly released. The squeeze on high-leverage short positions pushed FIGHT to quickly stabilize from $0.0035 and challenge the $0.0047 resistance level. Trading volume expanded and lows gradually moved higher, indicating bullish dominance. Boosted by net inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and improved market risk appetite, it is recommended to focus on the validity of the $0.0047 breakout in the short term. If it breaks out with increased volume, the upper space is expected to target previous highs. On retracements, pay attention to the $0.0038 support level.

From April 23 to 25, FIGHT's price pulled back from $0.003645 to around $0.00351, mainly affected by the Japanese Corporate Services Price Index sharply exceeding expectations and disruptions to oil supply from the Iran situation, which prompted global interest rate expectations to rise and limited risk asset performance.

On April 24, the crypto market weakened with BTC hovering around $77,800, slowing its rise from $65,000. ETH fell about 0.8%, underperforming BTC. Market pressure stemmed from Japan's March corporate service price index rising 3.1%, exceeding expectations and signaling possible BOJ rate hikes, strengthening the yen and risking global asset sell-offs. Additionally, ongoing Iran conflict disrupted oil transport, pushing WTI crude over $96/barrel, raising inflation concerns and limiting Fed rate cut prospects.

Analysis: BTC's upward momentum is hindered as Japanese inflation data and the Iran conflict trigger market risk aversion.

BTC's upward momentum slowed near $77,800 after rising from $65,000, with ETH also declining about 0.8%. Market pressure stems from Japan's March corporate service price index rising 3.1% YoY, suggesting possible BOJ rate hikes and a stronger yen, which may trigger risk asset sell-offs. Additionally, ongoing Iran conflict disrupts oil transport, pushing WTI crude over 40% higher to $96/barrel, sustaining inflation concerns and limiting Fed rate cut prospects.

Analysis: BTC's upward momentum is hindered as Japanese inflation data and the Iran war trigger market risk aversion sentiment.

The persistently high open interest in perpetual contracts and shorting cost pressure in the crypto market, after several rounds of adjustments, suggest the possibility of a short squeeze in the short term. With Bitcoin stabilizing in the near term and market liquidity improving, FIGHT saw a single-day jump of nearly 14% after April 26, with trading volume significantly increasing. Technicals show clear higher lows and concentrated buying.

Analyst Murphychen888 highlights that Bitcoin perpetual contract open interest has risen to about 472,000 BTC, indicating increasing market leverage. Despite this, persistent short dominance causes perpetual prices to trade at a discount, with shorts paying high funding fees. The combination of high open interest and sustained negative premiums may trigger short squeezes during rebounds, fueling price rises. The market is currently complex, with shorts under cost pressure and no clear bullish trend, leading to a cycle of event-driven moves, liquidations, and consolidation.

Analyst: High positions coexist with persistent negative fee rates, making short-term market speculation increasingly complex.

Despite recent Bitcoin price gains, investors are increasingly betting on a price decline. Data from CEX.IO shows short sellers paying rates around 11%, peaking at 19%, the highest since early 2023. Concurrently, Bitcoin is undergoing one of its largest accumulation phases. The simultaneous rise in strong buying and short positions suggests potential significant price volatility, with the possibility of a short squeeze or a reverse shock. Bitcoin currently down 1.6% at $75,754.

Analysis: Bitcoin short positions surge, market prepares for significant volatility.

Since April 27, overseas spot Bitcoin ETFs have continued to see net inflows, and the risk appetite indicator rose from 'fear' to 'neutral', boosting the overall bullish sentiment in the sector. Against this backdrop, FIGHT continued to climb, reaching the $0.0047 resistance on April 28 and is likely to test previous highs in the short term.

Fight to MAGA

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