FPIS is currently driven by short-term liquidity improvement, providing the basis for a staged rebound; key resistance is in the 2.13–2.25 range. However, long-term macro cycles remain under pressure as contract fees and trading volume show no fundamental recovery, limiting the potential for value restoration. It is advised to capture liquidity windows, keep short-term long positions below 20% of total capital, enforce strict take-profit, and use options to hedge macro risks. Pay special attention to the trading depth and capital concentration of major contracts, to avoid slippage and risk spread caused by on-chain liquidity structure divergence.

With expectations for a liquidity rebound at the beginning of the year, the market is likely to see staged buying interest. Liquidity improvement often triggers short-term rebounds at the bottom phase. For FPIS, if order book depth and order placement volume on major exchanges recover simultaneously, prices may test key resistance levels in the near term. From the perspective of capital flows, increasing inflows will foster long-short competition, but if the increase in trading volume falls short of expectations, the rebound’s magnitude will remain limited.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

Despite short-term capital inflow opportunities, from the perspectives of rates and trading volume, the macro cycle remains in a downward channel. Overall market liquidity and trading activity have yet to show sustained improvement, and the long-term trend favors consolidation and oscillation. Unless FPIS can significantly optimize contract fees and transaction charges, its value storage function will remain under pressure in the large cycle.

Short-term liquidity in the crypto market is extremely limited; most contracts show no trades within 24 hours, with only a few top-tier contracts absorbing nearly half of the trading volume. The FPIS trading ecosystem faces similar divergence. It is crucial to focus on capital concentration and activity of primary trading pairs, and to avoid entering the market when on-chain and contract depth is insufficient to prevent slippage risks.

Investors are advised to allocate moderate short-term long positions during liquidity recoveries, setting strict take-profit levels. At the same time, hedge against long-term macro pressure through options or derivatives to lock in some profits. Position sizing should not exceed 20% of total capital. Closely monitor changes in trading volume of core contracts and adjust positions and risk exposures dynamically.

Frax Price Index Share

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Frax Price Index Share Price: FPIS Live Price Today | FPIS Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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FPIS price today is 0.11, with a live price change of -0.08 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade FPIS on Bybit-eu.

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