Benefiting from the recovery of macro risk appetite and marginal improvement in market liquidity, INIT has recently seen increased activity and has technically broken through the key $0.09 level, with short-term strong momentum likely to continue. Volatility remains dominated by Bitcoin sentiment, so caution is advised against market sentiment shifts that may lead to pullbacks. It is recommended to monitor whether the breakout above $0.10 is validated with volume; strategically, position within the $0.088–0.08 range, control exposure, and seize structural opportunities in this highly volatile environment.

Recently, geopolitical tensions have eased, and the Federal Reserve has adopted a more hawkish stance after considering inflation and oil price fluctuations, leading to a revival in global risk assets. The digital asset market has rebounded in tandem with US equities, especially as institutions continue to accumulate Bitcoin ETFs and major holders increase their Bitcoin holdings, raising market risk appetite. As a small-cap token, INIT has participated in this wave of risk sentiment recovery and is expected to remain relatively active in the short term.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

The Weekly Editor's Picks (0411-0417) curates insightful content amid fast information flow. Highlights include the US Navy's blockade of the Strait of Hormuz escalating conflict risks; the uncertain Federal Reserve chair succession amid political drama; strategies to identify and navigate manipulated "monster coins" in crypto; opposition to AI data centers in US towns; risks of unofficial AI API gateways; AI agents achieving significant crypto trading gains; institutional adoption challenges in prediction markets; and regulatory developments on stablecoins and their impact on banking and Hong Kong's financial ambitions.

Weekly Editor's Picks (0411-0417)

Bitcoin has repeatedly tested key resistance levels recently, accompanied by a negative gamma effect in the derivatives market, resulting in heightened volatility. It oscillates between the 'volatility release point' near $75,000 and the positive gamma zone of $80–80.6K, with short-term sentiment easily amplified by the tug-of-war between bulls and bears. As a risk asset, INIT may experience significant swings alongside Bitcoin in the short term and face increased selling pressure during bull market corrections or consolidations. Investors should be mindful of sentiment risks associated with short-term volatility.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Bitcoin recently surpassed $75,000 for the first time in 73 days, facing resistance near $78,000 with $74,000 seen as a critical support level for further gains. Market views diverge: bears cite weak macro liquidity and reliance on short-covering, while bulls highlight strong whale accumulation and potential breakthroughs above key moving averages. The broader market shows mixed signals amid geopolitical developments and fluctuating investor sentiment.

Trading moment: BTC encountered resistance at 78K, and it needs to hold 74K to aim for a breakthrough.

Recently, Tether's supply increased by approximately $3 billion year-on-year, with an overall marginal recovery in stablecoin market capitalization, indicating early signs of improved market liquidity. Improved liquidity supports the valuation bottom for small-cap assets within the digital asset price system; with large institutions continuing to focus on crypto asset allocation, INIT’s liquidity risk is likely to ease in the medium to long term, providing fundamental support for continued trends.

On the daily chart, INIT has repeatedly oscillated within the $0.075–0.082 range since the end of March. In mid-April, a volume-backed reversal occurred, reclaiming the $0.09 level over consecutive days, with simultaneous volume and price increases confirming a bullish trend. Short-term resistance is now focused on $0.10; a successful breakout may open higher price targets. Key supports are around $0.088 and $0.08, denoting short-term retracement and mid-term platform bottoms respectively. Investors may consider entry based on changes in trading volume.

Inite

BoJ: Hike call postponed to June – Danske Bank

Insiders: The Bank of Japan is inclined not to raise interest rates in April but will maintain a tightening stance.

EUR/USD: Foreign inflows support upside potential – ING

Summary of Wash's Past Statements: How Will This Prospective "New Leader" Disrupt the Federal Reserve?

Gold: Inflation and Fed risks cap upside – ING

ECB: Lagarde Signals No Near-Term Rate Move – Danske Bank

Nikkei: Bank of Japan to hold rates steady in April

Fed Chair Nominee Kevin Warsh Vows Fed Independence Despite Trump’s Push for Rate Cuts

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April has reached 100%.

US Treasuries are still pricing in a war in the Middle East that other asset classes have shrugged off, setting up a drop in yields as they catch up, according to Bank of America.

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