In the short term, QUBIC will benefit from a rebound in macro risk appetite and the leading performance of industry assets. Market FOMO sentiment is expected to boost trading volume and price ranges. It is recommended to closely monitor changes in trading volume and open interest to confirm bullish momentum. Caution should be exercised regarding the risk of amplified volatility around key derivative market levels (such as BTC above $75,000). If volatility increases, a dynamic position management strategy and hedging for temporary drawdowns are advised. In the medium and long term, attention should be paid to the potential threat posed by quantum computing. Continuous assessment of QUBIC's quantum resistance research progress and capacity for technological iteration is recommended to enhance portfolio safety margins.

Recently, easing global geopolitical risks, coupled with the U.S. Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance, have driven linkage between the dollar and equities, resulting in a broad-based improvement in market risk appetite. With Bitcoin and Ethereum leading the rally, mainstream institutions continue to add positions in Bitcoin ETFs and increase holdings, indicating a solid commitment to long-term allocation. The recovery effect in risk assets is expected to transmit to small and mid-cap tokens in the secondary market. In the short run, QUBIC is poised to benefit from the spread of overall FOMO sentiment. Investors should pay attention to trading volume and open interest data to verify the sustainability of this sentiment.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Technically, after Bitcoin breaks through the critical $75,000 level, the negative gamma zone in derivative markets may amplify price swings within a choppy range. Accordingly, QUBIC is also highly likely to display higher volatility during periods of increased market turbulence. Traders should closely watch open interest and implied volatility indicators to guard against the phase risk brought by short-term pullbacks. Meanwhile, if major assets stay within the positive gamma zone, volatility is likely to remain relatively stable, providing QUBIC with a tradable and manageable swing environment.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

From a medium- to long-term perspective, the impact of quantum computing on cryptographic algorithms is expected to surface between 2030 and 2035. Although this risk remains distant, it is an important variable that cannot be ignored for the base-level security design of any public blockchain project. When evaluating QUBIC’s technical roadmap and ecosystem development, investors should also pay attention to its quantum resistance research and update plans to assess whether its long-term value moat remains sufficiently robust.

10x Research analysis indicates Bitcoin is approaching a significant breakout, with internal trend models detecting a shift and market sentiment, positions, and capital flow data confirming structural changes. Despite concerns about quantum computing threats emerging around 2030-2035, current technical indicators show constructive momentum and multiple signals suggest a high probability of short-term upward movement. The key question remains if this will lead to a new bull market and all-time highs.

Analysis: Bitcoin may face a critical breakthrough, multiple indicators resonate pointing to an upward window.

Qubic

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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