There are emerging signs of market recovery; in the short term, sentiment is improving but volume remains insufficient, so the effectiveness of any rebound is yet to be verified. If prices stabilize above key moving averages (such as the 60-day or 120-day) accompanied by sustained volume expansion, moderate position increases may be considered. Otherwise, chasing at high levels still carries a risk of a pullback. A valid long-term bullish structure has not yet formed, thus it is necessary to watch for a breakout above previous highs with volume and key price pattern confirmation (special attention recommended at resistance seen at 2023’s high). Overall, a cautious approach with selective buying on dips and strict stop-losses is suggested in the short term. For the long term, controlling positions until clear signal confirmation is crucial, waiting for both trend and structural signals to strengthen synchronously.

Signs of sentiment recovery are appearing in the market, as investor attitudes shift from previous caution to cautious optimism. A limited number of candlesticks show a low-level oscillation pattern, with bullish momentum initially emerging during local rebounds, but without a significant increase in trading volume, there is a risk of a false breakout. In the short term, if prices can stabilize near key moving averages and trading volume expands, bullish expectations will be reinforced; otherwise, the probability of a pullback to support areas remains high.

From a medium- to long-term perspective, there is still no obvious structural bullish alignment, and prices have yet to break through the previous high resistance. Investors should observe whether subsequent candles can close consecutively at higher levels and whether trading volume gradually increases, in conjunction with bullish moving average alignments or reversal patterns such as inside bars or morning star formations. These signals will provide stronger technical support for a trend reversal. Without sufficient supporting data, the trend remains to be confirmed and risk management is essential.

The Official 67 Coin

Safe-haven retreat + rising expectations of interest rate cuts, dollar bulls collectively retreat!

Eurozone: Stagflation risk builds after Iran conflict – Rabobank

USD: Stagflation Risk Supports Resilience – OCBC Bank

ECB: Limited case for renewed rate hikes – Commerzbank

Fed rate cut pushed back to late 2026 on war-related inflation risks

The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates at least once this year, supported by 71 economists.

Simkus: Cannot rule out the possibility of the European Central Bank raising interest rates this year.

USD: Recovery restrained as conflict risk seen low – DBS

On April 21, during a hearing in the U.S. Senate, current Federal Reserve Chairman Powell was mentioned 10 times.

CICC Research Report: Walsh's statements at the hearing have shown a tendency to cut interest rates.

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