TUSD is currently maintaining a narrow range of fluctuation (0.9960~1.0030), with technical indicators showing stability and controllable risk of a large short-term de-peg. Against the backdrop of rising risk appetite, some capital is flowing into risk assets, resulting in increased TUSD trading volume while the price remains basically pegged. On the industry level, TUSD leverages its regulatory compliance and transparency advantages, providing a solid foundation for its medium-to-long-term liquidity and peg stability. Recommendation: Institutions and market makers can continue to use TUSD as a liquidity and hedging tool, closely monitoring the 0.9960 support and 1.0030 resistance breakout conditions. In extreme market scenarios, be alert to short-term volatility caused by concentrated arbitrage flows.

Recently, the easing of the US-Iran situation, a strong rebound in US equities and tech stocks, and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance have contributed to a continued rise in market risk appetite. Major digital assets such as BTC and ETH have surged simultaneously, prompting investors to rotate funds from stablecoins into risky assets. On April 2 and 3, TUSD saw a significant surge in trading volume, with daily averages several times higher than the previous week, indicating that some holders opted to switch to other assets in search of higher returns amid the volatility. In the short term, this 'rotation from stability to risk' may slightly increase TUSD supply and impact its short-term price fluctuations, but the price largely remains near its peg.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Tech stocks surged, driving the Nasdaq and S&P 500 to record highs amid optimism over easing US-Iran tensions. The Nasdaq rose 1.59% to 24,016.02, and the S&P 500 increased 0.8% to 7,022.95. Bitcoin briefly hit $75,229, up 1.07% in 24 hours and nearly 10% over two weeks. Fundstrat's Tom Lee suggests the next rally may be led by Bitcoin, Ether, and tech stocks.

Analysis: Tech stocks rally drives US stocks to new highs, Bitcoin hits $75,000

By the end of the first quarter, public data showed that the total stablecoin supply on the market exceeded $180 billion, accounting for about 60% of the global stablecoin market cap. As one of the key USD-pegged assets, TUSD's share in industry liquidity allocation remains stable. Although the overall supply is ample, demand for TUSD—with its higher regulatory compliance and transparency—continues to be supported. In a macro environment of elevated interest rates, the rising cost of holding has subdued some arbitrage demand, but institutional and professional traders’ requirements for TUSD as a hedging and market-making tool remain robust, underpinning its long-term peg stability.

In Q1 2026, the Ethereum to Bitcoin price ratio (ETH/BTC) rebounded to 0.0313, a three-month high, indicating a recovery in the crypto market. Ethereum network users grew 82% year-on-year to 284,000, with transaction volume reaching 200.4 million. Stablecoin supply exceeded $180 billion, about 60% of the global market. Analysts suggest that if ETH/BTC closes above 0.035 weekly, it signals continued inflows into Ethereum and high-risk assets. Bitcoin remains above $74,000, supported by over $56 billion inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Analysis: Ethereum-Bitcoin price ratio rebounds, overall crypto market recovers

On the daily chart, TUSD/USDT continues to fluctuate within a narrow range of 0.9960~1.0030, displaying stability under high liquidity conditions. On April 16, it briefly surged towards 1.0100 before closing lower at 0.9992, suggesting selling pressure after breaking resistance. The 0.9960-0.9970 region has repeatedly provided support, leaving the short-term technical outlook neutral. Sustained closes above 1.0030 could establish a stronger price anchor; if it breaks below 0.9960, beware of brief volatility from concentrated arbitrage selling. Overall, intraday volatility for stablecoins focuses mainly on maintaining the peg, with risk of extreme de-pegging remaining low.

TrueUSD

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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