AUSD is currently showing signs of a temporary stabilization, with active trading near key support levels and a technical rebound foundation in the short term (suggested attention to volume performance and a valid breakout in the 1.00-1.03 area). However, the medium-term structure is still constrained by a descending channel and moving average entanglement; a strong reversal confirmation has yet to emerge. Operationally, it is recommended to try short-term long positions with controlled exposure, participate in batches before breaking through key resistance, set strict stop-losses, and be wary of range-bound volatility and false breakouts. Medium-term positions should focus on dynamic adjustments, maintain capital flexibility, and only increase holdings after a valid daily close above the channel’s upper boundary.

From the recent daily candlestick chart, AUSD has shown signs of stabilization near the previous bottom of its downtrend zone for several consecutive days. Price fluctuations have gradually narrowed and the lower shadows have lifted, indicating an intense test between buyers and sellers at crucial support levels. Meanwhile, trading volume has rebounded compared to earlier stages, with initial buying interest appearing and a technical rebound likely in the short term. With signs of market improvement, overall sentiment is cautiously optimistic; however, sustained volume increase and a valid breakout of key resistance must be monitored to confirm the continuation of the rebound.

In the medium-term dimension, AUSD is still consolidating along the edge of the previous descending channel, with prices and medium-to-long-term moving averages intertwined, indicating that the market remains in a sorting phase. If subsequent daily closes can effectively break above the channel and hold above the medium-term moving average, more upside potential could be unlocked; otherwise, prices may oscillate within the current range, with the possibility of further downside retesting. As market improvement signals are still in their early stage, investors are advised to conduct phased entry and exit operations and set stop-losses in medium-term allocations to cope with risks of false breakouts and range retracements.

AUSD

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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