Recently, AIN's trend has shown a four-stage rhythm of 'policy-driven and risk appetite recovery – short-term geopolitical hedging pressure – compliance-driven rebound – high-interest rate volatility.' In late February, AI sector sentiment warmed for the short term, with AIN strongly breaking above the 0.04 USDT mark as risk appetite improved. In early March, geopolitical risks spurred demand for safe-haven assets, pushing AIN back to the 0.037 USDT support level, reflecting the suppressive effect of risk shocks on the sector. Institutional entry and favorable regulatory news drove a short-term rebound, with trading volume and price recovering in tandem, bringing renewed focus to the 0.039~0.04 USDT range. The expectation of high Federal Reserve interest rates increased volatility and lifted short-term risk-off sentiment. It is recommended to watch the support and major force shifts in the 0.037~0.04 USDT range. If there is no further deterioration in policy or risk factors, AIN is likely to build a mid-term upside base within this range through consolidation.

In late February, as major AI firms expressed optimism about economic prospects, market concerns over AI-driven economic shocks gradually eased and risk appetite rebounded. From February 23 to February 26, AIN posted consecutive strong gains, surging from 0.03648 USDT to 0.04708 USDT, a maximum increase of over 29%. Trading volume spiked to over 25.51 million, and AIN successfully broke through the key resistance at 0.04 USDT. The short-term trend turned from bearish to bullish, and investor sentiment improved markedly.

A deep structural market adjustment is underway amid fears of AI-driven economic disruption, with major tech stocks falling but recovering after reassurances from AI firms. Nvidia's upcoming earnings report is highly anticipated as a key indicator of the AI market's trajectory. Bitcoin finds support around $64,000 despite volatility and sell-offs, while Ethereum faces significant selling pressure. The crypto market remains in extreme fear, with institutional investors cautiously re-entering.

Trading Moment: After AI "ghost stories," Nvidia's earnings report is approaching, and BTC finds support at 64K.

In early March, escalating tensions in the Middle East spurred a surge in safe-haven demand, driving up precious metals and oil prices while putting risk assets under pressure. AIN dipped slightly from 0.04049 USDT on March 1 to 0.04012 USDT on March 2, then sharply fell to 0.03773 USDT on March 3 amid expectations of strait closures, with an intraday drop of over 6%. The price retracement reflects the macro hedging sentiment's short-term suppression of the crypto sector.

Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East have triggered a surge in safe-haven demand, with gold and silver prices soaring and oil prices spiking due to supply fears. Despite market turmoil, over 60% of analysts remain bullish on Bitcoin, viewing it as a resilient "borderless hard asset" amid inflation and fiat currency concerns. Bitcoin showed a V-shaped recovery after initial drops, while Ethereum faces challenges with declining activity but retains strong institutional support.

Trading Moment: Geopolitical Conflicts Ignite Safe-Haven Sentiment, Over 60% of Analysts Bullish on Bitcoin

If the Strait of Hormuz is closed for an extended period, the global economy may face a "certain recession." Experts warn that triple-digit oil prices could be just the tip of the iceberg of global concerns.

Futures Hotspot Tracking

On March 5, several regulatory frameworks were launched alongside intensified institutional positioning, lifting the overall crypto market cap by about 1.8%. Bitcoin and Ethereum both rebounded. Driven by these developments, AIN, after high volatility on March 4, staged a strong rebound from a low of 0.03520 USDT to 0.03987 USDT on March 5—an intraday gain of nearly 14%. Trading volume notably recovered, indicating that expectations for compliance and institutional demand provided short-term sentiment repair for AIN.

With growing divisions within the Federal Reserve regarding the pace of rate cuts, high interest rate expectations persisted in the short term, causing volatility in risk assets to spike. On March 4, AIN experienced sharp swings, reaching a high of 0.04055 USDT and a low of 0.03047 USDT—an intraday amplitude of over 25%—before closing at 0.03699 USDT. The high interest rate outlook led to a more cautious stance among short-term funds, hindering AIN’s sustained upward momentum.

Before Jerome Powell officially takes over the Federal Reserve, significant internal resistance has already made the path to interest rate cuts challenging.

AI Network

Morgan Stanley: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026 and cut rates in 2027.

Bitcoin Slips to $75K as Federal Reserve Holds Rates, Dimming Warsh “Pivot Party” Hopes

SoSo Macro | Powell Remains Governor, Three Fed Voters Oppose Rate Cuts; Big Tech Cloud Revenue Growth Accelerates

CITIC Securities: The Market Guidance Role of the Federal Reserve Chairman's Speech Declines

The Federal Reserve's next interest rate cut may be delayed until the fourth quarter.

The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates as expected, with internal divisions reaching the highest level since 1992.

Wall Street Breakfast | April 30, 2026.

Bank of England set to hold rates as Iran war clouds outlook

Gold held losses after the US Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady and said the war in Iran was clouding the economic outlook.

ECB to hold rates steady but keep hikes firmly on the table

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