BEAR has short-term momentum to follow the upside, driven by rising risk appetite in Asian markets and the strength of major cryptocurrencies, but liquidity and trading volume have not expanded significantly, making its price fluctuations easily impacted by profit-taking. Short-term speculative participation is suggested with strict stop-loss measures, while closely monitoring the support and resistance in the 0.12~0.15 range. In the medium to long term, if the project's technology, ecosystem, and community continuously progress, it stands to benefit from a sector recovery. A strategy of staged investment is recommended for strategic positioning, but investors should dynamically track liquidity and changes among competitors, managing risk and position size accordingly.

Recent institutional reports indicate accelerated recovery in Asian markets, with Bitcoin and Ethereum both breaking through key levels and a strong bullish atmosphere in options markets. There is an increase in call option and straddle strategy positions, and short-covering has accelerated, showing that investors’ expectations for volatility have strengthened. Overall market capital flows are tilted towards the bulls, and this uptick in risk appetite may drive short-term follow-up gains in altcoins including BEAR. However, caution is advised for potential profit-taking pressure that may follow.

QCP's market analysis on January 5 highlights a strengthening crypto market in Asia, with Bitcoin and Ethereum surpassing $92,000 and $3,100 respectively, driven by US actions in Venezuela, year-end tax-loss trading, and rising crypto legislation expectations. Speculation about Venezuela holding significant "shadow Bitcoin reserves" and using USDT in oil trades could make it a major sovereign BTC holder. Options data show a bullish shift, with increased call options and straddle strategies indicating short covering and bets on upward volatility.

QCP: Venezuela Situation and Options Funding Resonance Strengthen Bullish Expectations in the Crypto Market

Although the market is showing initial signs of improvement, analysts remind that the current rally is still in its early stages. Trading volume and capital flows have yet to provide sufficient confirmation signals. For BEAR, small-scale exploratory positioning is possible in the short term, but strict risk management strategies should be executed. It is important to closely monitor trading volume, liquidity changes, and key price levels to prevent rapid market reversals.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

From a value and trend-driven perspective, a bull market structure is gradually taking shape as macro and industry fundamentals drive up the overall crypto asset market. If the BEAR project continues to make breakthroughs in technical application, ecosystem building, or community engagement, it will be more likely to attract long-term capital attention and allocation. Within a medium- to long-term holding strategy, investors can benefit from a potential bull market by dollar-cost averaging or phasing extra purchases, while also monitoring project liquidity and the competitive landscape.

BEARXRPL

Declining energy prices have moved the euro-zone economy back toward the European Central Bank’s base case and may mean interest-rate increases aren’t needed, according to Governing Council member Primoz Dolenc.

Fed’s John Williams Signals Support for Holding Rates Steady Ahead of FOMC Meeting

Federal Reserve Governor Milian: Currently, it seems that there may only be three rate cuts remaining for the rest of the year.

Milan: Prefers to cut interest rates 3 times this year, but possibly 4 times.

Latin America: Diverging central bank paths – BNP Paribas

Fed's Williams: If inflation reaches target level, rate cuts are still expected

Federal Reserve's Williams: Now is not the time to provide forward guidance on interest rates.

The ECB meeting minutes show that inflation risks are tilted to the upside.

Trump issues ultimatum to Fed chair as Bitcoin trembles at $75,000. ‘I’ll have to fire him’

Is the rebound an illusion? The bond market has already provided the answer.

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