BT currently benefits from the overall recovery in crypto market sentiment and a strong spillover effect from major coins, with trading volume and liquidity rising simultaneously. In the short term, it is expected to challenge the previous resistance range (it is recommended to monitor the $1.25–1.38 range), but the trend is not fully confirmed and remains in a critical observation window. Investors are advised to seize bullish momentum in the short run but implement strict risk controls, with a suggested stop loss at $1.12 and profit-taking dependent on structural breakout progress. From a mid- to long-term perspective, it is important to continuously track BT's ecosystem development and on-chain activity, paying close attention to how potential fundamental changes support its valuation.

Recently, there have been initial signs of a recovery in the crypto market. Overall sentiment is shifting from caution to optimism, with risk management awareness persisting but bullish confidence growing gradually. For BT, this macro sentiment improvement helps boost trading volume and price activity, and in the short term, could see the token challenge existing resistance levels propelled by positive market mood. However, one should be wary as the trend has not been fully confirmed, and the asset remains in a critical observation phase.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

The concentration of Bitcoin chips has declined during its price increase, suggesting institutions and large holders are continuing to buy rather than take profits, which is technically supportive of further upward movement. This strong performance among major coins often cascades to other tokens; projects like BT with clear progress or ecosystem application are likely to attract capital attention. Bullish momentum may thus spill over to small- and mid-cap tokens, helping BT secure support at key levels and steadily advance the bullish trend.

On January 4, analyst Murphy noted that BTC's chip concentration within 5% of the January 1 price dropped from 14.9% to 14.5% by January 3, while BTC's price slowly rose. Historical data suggests that a decline in concentration amid rising prices indicates continued price increase. Significant BTC accumulation at $87,000 supports a range of $92,000-$104,000. Technical signals suggest a rebound is more likely than a false breakout unless BTC falls below $87,000.

Analysis: BTC chip concentration decreases, chip structure support is effective, rebound probability is higher than a false breakout followed by further decline.

Market activity in Asian trading regions has noticeably picked up, with increased participation from institutional investors and speculative strategies, rising call option interest, and a rebound in implied volatility. This improvement in capital flows and liquidity will provide positive support for BT's trading depth and volume, increasing the reliability of short-term price breakouts. Still, attention should be paid to future regulatory developments and capital competition risks.

Overall, the current market is at a phase where short-term sentiment recovery and technical signals resonate, benefitting BT from the improved mood and spillover effects of major coins. However, from a mid- to long-term perspective, it is necessary to continuously monitor BT's project progress, on-chain activity, and ecosystem development when assessing its fundamental value support. Traders may seize short-term opportunities in bullish sentiment but must strictly control risk exposure and carefully set stop-loss and take-profit levels.

Bitenium

ECB to raise rates in June on war-driven inflation but path beyond unclear

The currency market has fully priced in the expectation that the European Central Bank will raise interest rates twice by December.

The market is increasing bets on the Bank of England raising interest rates, expecting a 62 basis point hike this year.

Crypto Market Macro Report: Ceasefire Negotiations, Fed Leadership Change, and Accelerated Institutionalization

IDR: Stability-first stance supports currency – Societe Generale

Hassett: It is conceivable to cut interest rates while reducing the balance sheet.

US intercepts Iranian tankers near India, Malaysia amid Hormuz tensions

Safe-haven retreat + rising expectations of interest rate cuts, dollar bulls collectively retreat!

Eurozone: Stagflation risk builds after Iran conflict – Rabobank

USD: Stagflation Risk Supports Resilience – OCBC Bank

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