COMP is driven by both favorable policies and the upward movement of mainstream assets, with short-term volume increasing and initiating an oversold rebound. If the general market remains strong, the next upside target is $24, and after a breakout, it may challenge $25. On the technical side, $21.5 and $20 are key supports; if mainstream assets pull back, watch for the risk window if $20 is breached. In the medium to long term, close attention should be paid to regulatory tone and liquidity changes. Policy support will continue to enhance protocol value and institutional allocation willingness, while liquidity and financing pressures may constrain the rebound if unfavorable. It is recommended to consider deploying in support regions during pullbacks, and adjust positions in line with macro and regulatory dynamics.

The disclosure of multiple early-stage DeFi infrastructure investments by the new Federal Reserve nominee signals regulatory recognition of the project’s prospects. Meanwhile, both the easing of geopolitical tensions and expectations for the Fed's monetary policy boost market risk appetite. Against this backdrop, COMP embarked on a compensatory rally from its lows, with trading volume surging significantly since April 8 and keeping a high degree of synchronicity with the rebound rhythm of mainstream digital assets, reflecting a clear short-term positive sentiment.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Federal Reserve Chair nominee Mr. वॉश's financial disclosures reveal early-stage investments in various crypto infrastructure projects, including Compound, Optimism, Blast, and Solana. His holdings, made through employment-related investment vehicles, also span trading infrastructure, crypto investment firms, AI, and biotechnology. These investments are small, illiquid, and have not produced reportable income, indicating a venture capital-style approach rather than direct liquid assets.

Federal Reserve Chairman nominee Wash's financial disclosure involves multiple crypto infrastructure investments, including Compound, Solana, etc.

When Bitcoin breaks through key volatility inflection points and reaches important moving averages, bullish sentiment is strengthened and spreads to secondary assets. Since April, COMP's rebound has accelerated under the drive of mainstream assets. If the strength in mainstream assets persists, COMP can be expected to move along the $24 resistance line; conversely, if there is a pullback, be on guard for the risk of a drop towards $20 in the short term under increased selling pressure.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Daily charts show that COMP has been rising steadily from its April 1 low of $16.39, with the moving averages forming a bullish alignment accompanied by volume confirmation. Near-term resistance is concentrated in the $23.7-$24 range; an effective breakout with volume could open up the mid-term $25 target. On the downside, initial support is at $21.5, followed by $20 and the $18 region, where successful retests could offer secondary buying opportunities.

Future changes in the leadership of the Federal Reserve and regulatory agencies will have profound effects on the policy environment and capital allocation for the DeFi sector. If regulation remains open, this policy void may attract more institutional liquidity to the Compound ecosystem, increasing protocol TVL and token demand. Conversely, if monetary policy turns hawkish or regulatory pressure increases, it could raise financing costs for DeFi projects and pose challenges to long-term development.

Compound

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Compound Price: COMP Live Price Today | COMP Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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COMP price today is 25.57, with a live price change of 8.80 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade COMP on Bybit-eu.

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