Driven by geopolitical risk easing and risk appetite recovery, CTC has recently seen a surge in volume and upward movement. However, hawkish expectations from the U.S. Federal Reserve and negative impact from commodity regulation have constrained its price action. Currently, the 0.158–0.16 level represents a key resistance zone for CTC; a breakout with high volume could open up further upside. If it pulls back, 0.148–0.149 is a vital support zone, and breaching it may accelerate downside risk. It is recommended to monitor macro liquidity and regulatory developments, control leverage, and prioritize a high-sell-low-buy strategy to manage volatility.

With Middle Eastern tensions easing, global market risk aversion has noticeably declined, leading to a rebound in major digital assets such as Bitcoin. Against this backdrop of recovering risk appetite, CTC has seen a significant surge in volume and price since April 7, quickly rising from near 0.142 to above the 0.15 threshold, demonstrating renewed investor interest in high-volatility assets.

Bitcoin surged past $72,000, rising about 3% to approximately $72,300, driven by easing tensions in the Middle East. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly initiated talks with Lebanon, supported by Trump's call for reduced Israeli military actions to maintain a ceasefire. Bitcoin's 24-hour gain of around 2% outpaced other major cryptocurrencies and coincided with a rebound in U.S. stocks and a drop in oil prices. Bitcoin is increasingly decoupling from tech stocks, influenced more by geopolitical and risk-averse factors.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks through $72,000, Middle East ceasefire expectations boost market sentiment.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

The investigation by U.S. regulatory agencies into oil futures trading highlights policy intervention risks in the commodities market, adding uncertainty that puts some short-term pressure on risk assets. After the news broke, CTC did not experience a sharp sell-off but instead consolidated within the 0.14–0.15 range, indicating the market has partially digested this systemic risk, though ongoing monitoring of regulatory developments is still needed due to potential market sentiment disruptions.

According to informed sources, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is investigating a series of unusually well-timed trades in the oil futures market that occurred before President Trump announced a major policy shift related to the Iran war.

As the top U.S. derivatives regulator, the CFTC is leading an investigation with the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group and Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) into specific cases of volume surges before major commodity announcements. The CFTC has requested the exchanges to provide relevant data, including the so-called Tag 50 identification information behind the trading entities.

This investigation stems from concerns about potential misuse of material non-public information related to Trump's stance change on the Iran war, and it has been driven by two Democratic senators. (Bloomberg)

The U.S. is investigating unusual oil trades that occurred before Trump's policy shift towards Iran.

Despite easing geopolitical risks, the Federal Reserve's persistent hawkish signals continue to restrain risk assets. With inflation still under pressure and oil prices remaining elevated, monetary policy may tighten further, which could limit the upward momentum of high-beta assets such as CTC. CTC has repeatedly encountered resistance in the 0.15–0.154 range, and future macro liquidity dynamics should be closely monitored.

Bitcoin has repeatedly tested the key level near $75,000, and the high negative Gamma environment on the derivatives market may increase volatility. Amid this backdrop, CTC experienced a surge in trading volume on April 16–17, breaking through resistance at 0.1544 and 0.1553. In the short term, it may continue testing the 0.158–0.16 levels, while holding above 0.148–0.149 is crucial to avoid downside risk.

Bitcoin has surpassed a four-week high, rising above $74,000. Analysts identify $75,000 as a critical "volatility release point," where derivative market negative gamma effects may amplify price fluctuations. This level coincides with Bitcoin's 100-day moving average, a key resistance in January. Breaking $75,000 could accelerate an uptrend, while a pullback may increase downward pressure. The $80,000–$80,600 range is a positive gamma zone with lower volatility, and the 200-day moving average at $87,519 serves as a long-term reference.

Analysis: Bitcoin breaks four-week high, key price range may intensify market volatility

Creditcoin

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Trump: US-Iran talks progress as Iran suspends nuclear program

Trump warns of bombing if no Iran deal by April 21 ceasefire expiration

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

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Live chart for Creditcoin to USD conversion. Check out CTC to USD prices in real time. Convert, buy, sell, and trade Creditcoin on Bybit-eu.

Creditcoin Price: CTC Live Price Today | CTC Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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CTC price today is 0.15, with a live price change of 0.38 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade CTC on Bybit-eu.

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