Combining current market sentiment, liquidity structure, and capital flow, $TRUMP benefits from the rotation of Asia-Pacific funds and sector-wide gains led by spot demand, possessing both active trading and price momentum in the short term. Overall selling pressure is easing. Key short-term focus should be on cost zones—if prices rebound to the average cost of recent holders (suggested to dynamically monitor the on-chain average price), be cautious of concentrated profit-taking causing increased volatility. It is recommended to accumulate on dips during periods of strength in major coins, and to dynamically track leverage and liquidity indicators, with emphasis on volatility control and position management during phases of healthy expansion.

Recently, the cryptocurrency market in the Asia-Pacific timezone has shown remarkable strength, with both Bitcoin and Ethereum reaching new local highs, and major assets experiencing broad-based gains. Rumors of countries or institutions using USDT for commodities settlement have further boosted market confidence. Additionally, heightened bullish sentiment in the options market has brought incremental capital into the sector. This positive macro sentiment feedback is expected to spill over into small-cap and innovative tokens. $TRUMP could benefit from the resulting capital rotation, potentially seeing a surge in both trading volume and price in the short term.

QCP's market analysis on January 5 highlights a strengthening crypto market in Asia, with Bitcoin and Ethereum surpassing $92,000 and $3,100 respectively, driven by US actions in Venezuela, year-end tax-loss trading, and rising crypto legislation expectations. Speculation about Venezuela holding significant "shadow Bitcoin reserves" and using USDT in oil trades could make it a major sovereign BTC holder. Options data show a bullish shift, with increased call options and straddle strategies indicating short covering and bets on upward volatility.

QCP: Venezuela Situation and Options Funding Resonance Strengthen Bullish Expectations in the Crypto Market

Market analysis shows that short-term holders are currently at a book loss, as their acquisition costs are above the current price, resulting in a slowdown in active sell-offs and overall selling pressure converging. Even in the event of corrections, major coins have demonstrated resilience, providing relative support for $TRUMP as well. However, attention should be paid when prices recover to the average cost of short-term holders, as the urge to close positions and take profits may quickly concentrate, potentially triggering increased volatility. It is crucial to closely monitor the breakout or rejection at these key levels.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel notes that Bitcoin's current rise benefits from reduced selling pressure by short-term holders, who are currently at a loss since BTC trades below their average acquisition cost. This limits their profit-taking potential and suppresses sell pressure, explaining price resilience despite pullbacks. However, if BTC reaches $100,000, short-term holders may break even and start selling, creating price pressure. A key bullish signal is BTC closing above the short-term holders' realized price.

Analyst: The current BTC rise benefits from reduced selling pressure; if it reaches $100K, it will face selling from short-term holders.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel noted that the current BTC price rise benefits from reduced selling pressure by short-term holders, who are currently at a loss since BTC trades below their average acquisition cost. This loss limits their selling potential, easing downward pressure. However, if BTC reaches $100,000, short-term holders may break even and start selling, creating price pressure. A key bullish signal would be BTC closing above the short-term holders' realized price.

The market's transition from deleveraging to moderate expansion is evident, with the current rally mainly driven by spot demand rather than heavy reliance on leverage, mitigating the risk of a large-scale liquidation cascade. This robust funding environment provides a more predictable trading context for mid and small-cap tokens. As a popular asset in the decentralized derivatives sector, $TRUMP may continue to attract attention amid this phase of healthy liquidity expansion. Nevertheless, if leverage indicators suddenly reverse sharply, this could trigger a short-term liquidity squeeze and a spike in selling pressure, which warrants caution.

FreeTrump

Fed Pumps $8.26B Into Markets Overnight, Is Something Bigger Unfolding?

Federal Reserve's Logan should not imply easing policy guidance.

The Federal Reserve's Kashkari and Harker stated that the conflict has changed the interest rate outlook, and maintaining an accommodative stance is no longer appropriate.

Global news you need to know before the US stock market opens on Friday.

Fed's Hammack: Uncertainty around economy, policy path has risen

Two Federal Reserve officials said they dissented over this week’s policy statement because it was no longer appropriate to signal the Fed’s next move was still likely to be an interest-rate cut.

Fed's Kashkari: Large enough price shock could require series of rate hikes

BoE's Pill: Should act more promptly in response to new inflation pressure

Kashkari: Previously thought inflation might decrease, but this year it is necessary to cut interest rates again.

Hamac: Inflation pressure is widespread, energy drives prices higher

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