Although there are signs of market sentiment warming up and technical signals of bottoming out, volume and key indicators have yet to confirm a breakout, and bullish momentum has not been fully unleashed. In the short term, it is advisable to cautiously test light positions near the lower edge of recent support zones of major coins, with strict stop-loss control. For the mid- to long term, consider adding positions only after both trading volume and price break out simultaneously, and the daily chart clearly establishes support above key resistance zones (such as BTC closing firmly above previous highs with corresponding volume increases). The overall strategy emphasizes guarding against the risk of false breakouts; the current approach should remain cautious observation, focusing on subsequent volume-price resonance and signals of institutional entry.

Recent market news indicates an improving sentiment in crypto assets. Correspondingly, candlestick charts show significantly narrower price fluctuations in recent days, with alternating small bearish and bullish candles, suggesting repeated testing between bulls and bears within a range. While a rebound trend is budding, a clear breakout has not yet materialized, alerting investors to the risk of false breakouts.

From a technical perspective, short-term moving averages are arranged flatly, lacking a clear bullish or bearish tendency; trading volume remains consolidating at low levels and fails to expand in line with price movements, indicating that bullish momentum is not yet fully accumulated. Additionally, within the consolidation range, the MACD indicator hovers near the zero axis and no reliable golden cross has emerged. Overall, the technical indicators suggest that the trend is still in a bottom-building stage, and a true bullish market depends on subsequent synchronous increases in volume and price.

On the sentiment front, the market is recovering from pessimism, and short-term speculative funds may seek to capitalize on potential rebounds. However, from a long-term value perspective, current prices have yet to show enough fundamental evidence or large-scale institutional capital inflows; further improvements in the macro environment and on-chain data are still needed. Thus, short-term traders should consider small position layouts near the lower edge of the consolidation range, while long-term holders are advised to wait for simultaneous confirmation of key price levels and trading volumes before adding new positions.

RWAX

Fed Pumps $8.26B Into Markets Overnight, Is Something Bigger Unfolding?

Federal Reserve's Logan should not imply easing policy guidance.

The Federal Reserve's Kashkari and Harker stated that the conflict has changed the interest rate outlook, and maintaining an accommodative stance is no longer appropriate.

Global news you need to know before the US stock market opens on Friday.

Fed's Hammack: Uncertainty around economy, policy path has risen

Two Federal Reserve officials said they dissented over this week’s policy statement because it was no longer appropriate to signal the Fed’s next move was still likely to be an interest-rate cut.

Fed's Kashkari: Large enough price shock could require series of rate hikes

BoE's Pill: Should act more promptly in response to new inflation pressure

Kashkari: Previously thought inflation might decrease, but this year it is necessary to cut interest rates again.

Hamac: Inflation pressure is widespread, energy drives prices higher

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