SHEZMU is currently in a key consolidation range. In the short term, market liquidity is showing marginal improvement. If the upper boundary of the range (referencing $0.85-0.92) is effectively broken, a rebound is expected to follow the recovery of mainstream sectors. Conversely, if support (around $0.77) is breached, caution is advised for a possible pullback. For the medium to long term, focus on its adaptability to the upgrading trend of prediction market structures. If innovations such as perpetual contracts can be seized, SHEZMU is likely to achieve fundamental revaluation and external value expansion. It is recommended to patiently wait for structural improvement progress and market confirmation signals before increasing positions.

In light of recent market developments, the overall crypto asset sector has shown initial signs of stabilization following earlier corrections. SHEZMU's trading volume has picked up slightly amidst narrow-range volatility, with candlestick charts reflecting a low-volume consolidation pattern and a balance between bulls and bears near key price levels. If the current consolidation range can be broken to the upside in the short term, a rebound is likely to continue with the broader market. However, losing support may pose risks of a pullback test.

Industry experts have proposed evolving toward a perpetual contract model to address insufficient liquidity and low capital efficiency in current prediction markets. This approach can build a deeper and more universal trading framework, providing continuous demand for tokens within the prediction market ecosystem. If SHEZMU can participate in or adapt to such innovative contract designs, it will further expand its value discovery and application scope. However, it is still necessary to wait for the implementation and validation of structural reforms in the short term.

The article critically examines the current state of prediction markets, arguing they have fallen into a "local optimum" trap similar to past tech failures like BlackBerry and Yahoo. While binary options models have gained short-term traction, they suffer from liquidity shortages and low capital efficiency. The author advocates evolving prediction markets toward a perpetual contract model to achieve a truly universal, liquid market, emphasizing the need for radical redesign and humility to overcome structural limitations and realize their full potential.

Falling into a local optimum, market predictions should not stop here.

Shezmu

Summary of key points from the U.S. Senate hearing on Kevin's nomination for Chairman of the Federal Reserve.

Wash: The Federal Reserve should reduce its reliance on forward guidance.

Wash: Collaborating with the Treasury Secretary to advance the Federal Reserve's balance sheet reduction efforts.

Fed Chair Nominee Wash: Need to Gradually, Cautiously Shrink Balance Sheet

Wash: More inclined to view interest rates as the dominant force

Wash: The Federal Reserve's balance sheet has an adverse impact on the dual mandate

Wash: The rise in inflation is the result of the Federal Reserve's actions.

Federal Reserve Chair Nominee Waller: If Confirmed, Will Sell Undisclosed Assets

Wash, the Fed sticks to its forecasts for too long.

NZD/USD: Hot inflation but RBNZ hikes seen over-priced – BBH

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