Currently, USDT0 benefits from limited short-term selling pressure on Bitcoin, rising bullish enthusiasm in Asia, and widening arbitrage opportunities in the US market, resulting in sustained high trading demand and liquidity. Short-term USDT0 lending rates are expected to rise, and cross-platform arbitrage opportunities are increasing. It is recommended to monitor changes in USDT0 lending rate spreads and OTC demand trends. In the short term, focus should be on liquidity management and spread capture; in the medium term, beware of potential impacts from shifts in US market risk appetite on USDT0 asset pricing and liquidity.

Bitcoin prices continue to hover below the average cost basis of short-term holders, suppressing their willingness to realize profits, which in turn holds down overall market selling pressure in the short term. As selling pressure eases, investor confidence in timing entry increases, leading to greater trading activity. This helps maintain the frequency and stability of USDT0 usage as the primary settlement medium in trading pairs.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel notes that Bitcoin's current rise benefits from reduced selling pressure by short-term holders, who are currently at a loss since BTC trades below their average acquisition cost. This limits their profit-taking potential and suppresses sell pressure, explaining price resilience despite pullbacks. However, if BTC reaches $100,000, short-term holders may break even and start selling, creating price pressure. A key bullish signal is BTC closing above the short-term holders' realized price.

Analyst: The current BTC rise benefits from reduced selling pressure; if it reaches $100K, it will face selling from short-term holders.

During Asia-Pacific hours, Bitcoin and Ethereum posted notable gains, combined with surging discussion about USDT settlement for oil trade. Derivatives market bulls increased allocation to call options and straddle strategies. This surge is expected to boost both OTC and lending demand for USDT0, potentially pushing up lending rates in the short term and further tightening market liquidity.

QCP's market analysis on January 5 highlights a strengthening crypto market in Asia, with Bitcoin and Ethereum surpassing $92,000 and $3,100 respectively, driven by US actions in Venezuela, year-end tax-loss trading, and rising crypto legislation expectations. Speculation about Venezuela holding significant "shadow Bitcoin reserves" and using USDT in oil trades could make it a major sovereign BTC holder. Options data show a bullish shift, with increased call options and straddle strategies indicating short covering and bets on upward volatility.

QCP: Venezuela Situation and Options Funding Resonance Strengthen Bullish Expectations in the Crypto Market

The Coinbase Bitcoin premium has turned negative again, reflecting cooling risk appetite in the US market, with institutions and speculators increasingly taking a wait-and-see approach. In this environment, cross-platform funding volatility intensifies, offering arbitrage traders opportunities to exploit USDT0 price differences between exchanges, thereby increasing trading volume and arbitrage depth in the short term.

According to Coinglass data reported by ChainCatcher, the Coinbase Bitcoin premium index has turned negative again, currently at -0.0277%. This index measures the price difference of Bitcoin on Coinbase compared to the global average, indicating market sentiment and institutional investment activity in the US. A negative premium suggests increased selling pressure, reduced risk appetite, and heightened market caution in the US.

Data: Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index turns negative again, currently at -0.0277%

USDT0

TD Securities: The US dollar may still weaken even if the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates.

Federal Reserve's Schmied: Inflation remains the biggest risk, but the US economy shows resilience.

Schmidt: Persistent inflation is the most urgent risk facing the economy.

Why bitcoin’s recent climb to $80,000 might just be a temporary liquidity squeeze

Fed: Extended pause before cautious easing – UOB

The Bank of Japan Just Triggered $635 Million in Bitcoin ETF Outflows in a Single Day: Is the Rally Over?

Here’s why the crypto market is going down today (May 14)

Baysent: There may be one to two months of "hot" inflation data in the future.

Market Analysis: Gold prices edged higher but remained pressured by inflation concerns

Mitsubishi UFJ: US inflation data exceeds expectations, yen weakens as dollar strengthens

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