ACT has benefited from the rebound in global risk appetite, with a significant short-term technical breakout above the 0.0135–0.0140 range. This was accompanied by increased trading volume, indicating strong bullish momentum. Attention should now be paid to resistance at 0.0185–0.0190, with potential for a short-term pullback; support lies at 0.0155. In the medium to long term, innovations in DeFi + AI agents and PQC empower ACT. Expansion in both industry tracks and security features are expected to attract institutional allocation and enhance the valuation center. It is advised to monitor high-level correction risks in the short term and consider gradually building medium-to-long-term positions during structural pullbacks.

Recent easing of tensions between the US and Iran, combined with the Fed’s hawkish stance, has boosted global risk asset sentiment, and the digital currency market has warmed up accordingly. Bitcoin and Ethereum are leading the gains, with institutions continuously increasing their positions in Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s holdings, and the market style is tilting toward riskier assets. Within this environment, ACT has experienced a sentiment-driven surge, with active short-term buying pushing the price to attempt a continued rebound.

On the daily chart, ACT broke above the previous 0.0135–0.0140 resistance range with a large bullish candlestick on April 16. The price peaked at 0.01812 before retreating and closing at 0.01698, with single-day trading volume surging to 201 million and turnover exceeding $3.2 million, confirming short-term bullish follow-through. Technical indicators show MACD lines running above zero and diverging, while the RSI has climbed into overbought territory. Short-term moving averages are aligned in a bullish configuration. Key resistance is now at 0.0185–0.0190, with support around 0.0155. Overheating signals suggest caution for a potential pullback.

After a five-and-a-half-month bear market shakeout, the DeFi sector has been accelerating its deep integration with AI agents, creating a new ecology for decentralized intelligent asset management. Meanwhile, ongoing progress in post-quantum cryptography projects offers solid security for on-chain assets. If ACT can achieve adoption and ecosystem expansion in these technological and security domains, it will lay the foundation for long-term value, attract more strategic institutional capital, and support its medium- to long-term valuation.

The report provides a comprehensive overview of the crypto market after five and a half months of bear conditions, covering key developments in DeFAI tools driven by AI agents for on-chain asset management, and an analysis of ongoing critical projects in the post-quantum cryptography (PQC) sector. It highlights major players, investment trends, technological advancements, and the integration of AI and blockchain in DeFi, as well as the progress of PQC initiatives aimed at enhancing security against future quantum threats.

Research Morning Report | Five and a Half Months of Bear Market: A Health Check Report on the Crypto Market / DeFAI Tool Summary: How to Use AI Agents to Drive On-Chain Asset Management / Post-Quantum Cryptography Track Analysis: An Overview of Key Ongoing Projects

Act I The AI Prophecy

UBS: Still expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points later this year.

The European Central Bank will raise interest rates in June as the Iran war drives inflation higher this year, a Bloomberg survey showed.

Important news from last night and this morning (April 16 - April 17).

Bank of Japan Governor: We need to simultaneously address rising energy prices and economic downturn risks; policy-making is very difficult at this stage.

BOJ chief avoids hints of April rate hike, shattering hawkish market bets

ECB policymakers play down April rate hike chances

Declining energy prices have moved the euro-zone economy back toward the European Central Bank’s base case and may mean interest-rate increases aren’t needed, according to Governing Council member Primoz Dolenc.

Fed’s John Williams Signals Support for Holding Rates Steady Ahead of FOMC Meeting

Israeli envoy warns of reaction if threatened, straining Israel-Iran relations

Trump-Meloni rift strains US-Europe ties amid NATO withdrawal speculation

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