The current market sentiment for CHANGE has rebounded from previous lows. Spot-driven capital inflows are forming a healthy upward structure, with positions and prices rising moderately in tandem, indicating that short- to medium-term volatility is likely to be sustainable. Investors are advised to follow the trend, build positions in batches after confirmation of an effective price breakout, watch for resistance in the $1.38–$1.45 zone above, and $1.17 as the main support below. Position management should focus on take-profit and stop-loss, guarding against pullback risks caused by momentum divergence.

Recently, market sentiment has gradually improved and bullish confidence is starting to form a bottom, though a clear volume breakout signal has yet to appear. On-chain liquidity and trading volume data indicate a marginal recovery of funds, with investors’ outlook shifting from cautious observation to tentative optimism. Overall, short-term sentiment has exited the downward range, but it is crucial to monitor whether the trend can be sustained.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

After the deleveraging phase ended, market momentum came from spot buying, leading to steady price increases without substantial leveraged chasing, which reduces forced liquidation risks. Currently, positions and prices are rising gently in sync, suggesting a healthy balance of buying and selling forces, which supports the sustainability of the short- and medium-term uptrend. However, if momentum divergence occurs and prices cannot find effective support, adjustment pressures may emerge.

In pronounced trending markets, following the trend can effectively improve win rates and avoid the dual risks of chasing highs and bottom fishing. Investors should build positions in batches after confirming the upward channel, setting reasonable take-profit and stop-loss levels. If prices fall back to previous support areas with increased volume, consider adding positions opportunistically. The overall strategy centers on 'buy in bull markets, sell in bear markets,' emphasizing trend-following rather than seeking perfect entry and exit points.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

Changex

The Powell era comes to an end: What has he left behind?

Reminder: Please pay special attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

US growth likely picked up in first quarter, but consumer spending probably cooled

Morgan Stanley: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026 and cut rates in 2027.

Bitcoin Slips to $75K as Federal Reserve Holds Rates, Dimming Warsh “Pivot Party” Hopes

SoSo Macro | Powell Remains Governor, Three Fed Voters Oppose Rate Cuts; Big Tech Cloud Revenue Growth Accelerates

CITIC Securities: The Market Guidance Role of the Federal Reserve Chairman's Speech Declines

The Federal Reserve's next interest rate cut may be delayed until the fourth quarter.

The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates as expected, with internal divisions reaching the highest level since 1992.

Wall Street Breakfast | April 30, 2026.

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