HYPER is set to face the concentrated unlock of nearly 90 million tokens, leading to significant short-term supply pressure. Coupled with macro uncertainties and fluctuating risk appetite, the price is repeatedly oscillating within the $0.0935–0.0969 range. Currently, there is limited main buying and absorbing power. If the price falls below $0.0935, it is recommended to reduce positions to control risk, as the lower support may be tested further downward. If there is a high-volume breakout above $0.0970, it may rise to test $0.1030. Strategically, it is advised to closely monitor market liquidity and sentiment after unlocking and adjust positions flexibly.

Recently, on the macro front, hawkish expectations from the Federal Reserve and escalating Middle East tensions have intertwined to impact market sentiment. Rising U.S.-Iran relations have driven oil prices higher, sudden shifts in direction have caused short-term pressure on risk assets; meanwhile, U.S. stocks and Bitcoin have rebounded to multi-week highs, but altcoins continue their high volatility, overall demonstrating 'focus on leaders when rising, sentiment retreating when falling.'

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Due to Trump's order to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surged, US stock futures fell, and the dollar strengthened. This escalation followed failed US-Iran talks in Pakistan, disappointing investors. Elias Haddad from Brown Brothers Harriman noted this will likely reignite risk aversion this week. Investors are also focused on the upcoming Q1 earnings season, seeking corporate leaders' views on rising risks.

Earnings season intertwined with geopolitical crises, market risk aversion reignites.

Bitcoin recently surpassed $75,000 for the first time in 73 days, facing resistance near $78,000 with $74,000 seen as a critical support level for further gains. Market views diverge: bears cite weak macro liquidity and reliance on short-covering, while bulls highlight strong whale accumulation and potential breakthroughs above key moving averages. The broader market shows mixed signals amid geopolitical developments and fluctuating investor sentiment.

Trading moment: BTC encountered resistance at 78K, and it needs to hold 74K to aim for a breakthrough.

According to on-chain data, about 89.68 million Hyperlane tokens will be unlocked on April 22, equivalent to approximately $9.07 million. This scale accounts for a high proportion of the project’s total supply. Combined with the current circulating supply structure, there may be concentrated selling in the short term, putting price under pressure. Special attention should be paid to post-unlock bid absorption capacity and fund flows to judge the depth of further correction.

According to ChainCatcher and Web3 asset data platform RootData, Hyperlane (HYPER) will unlock approximately 89.68 million tokens valued at about 9.07 million USD on April 22 at 11:00 Beijing time.

RootData: HYPER will unlock tokens worth approximately $9.07 million in one week.

Next week, tokens including ZRO, H, and XPL will experience large-scale unlocks. LayerZero (ZRO) will unlock about 25.71 million tokens on April 20, valued at approximately $40.4 million. Humanity (H) will unlock 105 million tokens on April 25, worth around $10.8 million. Plasma (XPL) will unlock 88.89 million tokens on April 25, valued at about $9.4 million. Hyperlane (HYPER) will unlock 89.75 million tokens on April 22.

Data: ZRO, H, XPL and other tokens will usher in a large unlock next week, with ZRO unlocking approximately $40.40M in value.

Since late April, HYPER has repeatedly tested the $0.0935 to $0.0969 range. After touching the lower bound on April 19, it bounced slightly, but with shrinking volume, indicating a temporary standoff between bulls and bears. The short-term support is at $0.0935; a break below might continue the correction. Resistance is at $0.0970; a breakout with high volume could open room to test the previous high of $0.1030.

Hyper

Gold: Inflation and Fed risks cap upside – ING

ECB: Lagarde Signals No Near-Term Rate Move – Danske Bank

Nikkei: Bank of Japan to hold rates steady in April

Fed Chair Nominee Kevin Warsh Vows Fed Independence Despite Trump’s Push for Rate Cuts

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April has reached 100%.

US Treasuries are still pricing in a war in the Middle East that other asset classes have shrugged off, setting up a drop in yields as they catch up, according to Bank of America.

Lagarde: Broad fiscal support will force the European Central Bank to raise key interest rates.

Iran accuses US of attacking commercial vessel, escalating Strait tensions

Pentagon reports 415 US troops wounded in Iran, indicating ground involvement

US seizes MV Touska in Hormuz, linked to Iranian missile shipments

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