Although there are signs of recovery in the current INDEX market sentiment, trading volume and technical indicators have not seen a significant increase, making it difficult to confirm a sustained bullish trend. Prices are expected to continue fluctuating within the previous trading range (upper bound ××, lower bound ××). Liquidity fragmentation pressures are intensifying, and capital is inclined towards risk aversion, resulting in higher short-term slippage and trading costs. Given the declining participation in new token issuances, it is advised to continuously optimize incentive and distribution mechanisms, expand real demand-side applications, and pay attention to volume alignment and key breakout signals. In the short term, range trading is recommended, while medium- to long-term strategic positioning should wait for the resonance of sentiment and structural changes.

Recently, market sentiment has somewhat improved, but no clear unidirectional trend has formed. Index tokens continue to fluctuate within the previous trading range, with intraday Bollinger Band widths narrowing and trading volume remaining low, indicating a stalemate between bulls and bears for now. An improvement in sentiment alone is not sufficient to drive prices out of consolidation; more trading volume and trend confirmation signals are needed to verify the continuation of the mid- to short-term bullish trend.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Recently, a project's public offering was forced to adjust its rules due to low participation. This clearly reminds the market of its heightened sensitivity to lock-up periods, valuations, and allocation mechanisms. Investors' risk appetite is turning more cautious, and niche projects without differentiated value propositions may struggle to attract sustained attention. For INDEX, new ecosystem development and incentive mechanisms still require refined design to boost market confidence in long-term value.

Infinex's INX token public sale on Sonar faced low participation, prompting the team to admit mistakes in the sales mechanism and implement key rule changes, including removing individual investment caps and switching to a fair distribution model. The project, backed by prominent investors and involving Patron NFTs, struggled with community backlash over lock-up periods and high valuations. Additionally, suspicious early betting on Polymarket raised insider trading concerns, though unconfirmed.

Public Offering Cools Down, Rule Reversal, Prediction Market Rush: Infinex Plagued by Multiple Controversies

Data shows that overall short-term liquidity in the crypto derivatives market is sluggish, with more than half of contracts seeing no trades within half a day. Capital is favoring macro-hedging markets with greater liquidity and longer holding periods. For index tokens lacking liquidity, short-term trading costs and slippage risks may further increase, likely extending the consolidation pattern in the short term. Only with broader market participation and application scenarios can the current liquidity stratification gradually improve.

Index Cooperative

CITIC Securities: The Market Guidance Role of the Federal Reserve Chairman's Speech Declines

The Federal Reserve's next interest rate cut may be delayed until the fourth quarter.

The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates as expected, with internal divisions reaching the highest level since 1992.

Wall Street Breakfast | April 30, 2026.

Bank of England set to hold rates as Iran war clouds outlook

Gold held losses after the US Federal Reserve kept interest rates steady and said the war in Iran was clouding the economic outlook.

ECB to hold rates steady but keep hikes firmly on the table

Brazil’s central bank cut its key interest rate by a quarter point for a second straight meeting, even as inflation accelerates and signs of economic resilience emerge.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP Prices Drop As Fed Holds Rates and Trump Rejects Iran Deal

Bitcoin Dips Under $76K as Fed Holds Rates in Rare 8-4 Split

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