BODEN is currently in a key period of market consolidation. In the short term, with a cooling in USDT/USDC inflows, overall market sentiment appears cautious. Investors are advised to pay close attention to the effectiveness of key support levels during this consolidation phase, and consider a staged approach to building positions near these supports, keeping each individual position within 10% of total capital. If a support level is breached, an immediate stop loss should be triggered to keep losses within 5% per position. Additionally, it is important to monitor momentum indicators, especially MACD and RSI trends, in order to assess potential rebound opportunities. Once the price breaks through key resistance levels, consider additional allocations to capitalize on market reversals while effectively managing risk.

According to market data, the daily average stablecoin inflow to exchanges has retreated from last year’s highs to around $70 billion, slightly below the annual average of $75 billion. This cooling trend reflects heightened caution among short-term market participants, with capital flows becoming more observant. For BODEN, the short-term trend may continue to exhibit range-bound fluctuations, with increased differences between bullish and bearish sentiments—making it crucial to monitor the effectiveness of key support levels. If previous lows are breached, stop losses should be executed promptly. On the other hand, if inflows stabilize or pick up again, this can be seen as a signal of improving sentiment.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. noted that while the average daily inflow of USDT and USDC into centralized exchanges peaked at $131 billion in December 2024 when Bitcoin was priced between $98,000 and $100,000, it has since dropped to $70 billion in June, below the 365-day average of $75 billion. This decline indicates a cooling of market enthusiasm, yet the liquidity remains significantly higher than at the beginning of the bull market. Currently, the market is in a consolidation and bottoming phase before the next rally.

Analyst: Currently in the consolidation and bottoming phase before the next rally begins.

From a technical perspective, historical data shows that when the proportion of negative momentum among altcoins falls below 8%, the probability of a market bottom increases substantially. Following the previous cycle’s top and bottom signals, mainstream coins witnessed significant gains, suggesting that BODEN, as a small-to-mid-cap asset, may outperform in the next rebound cycle. Traders should pay attention to momentum indicators on the daily or four-hour charts, such as the MACD zero line and any RSI oversold recoveries, as quantitative entry signals. If key resistance is effectively broken, bullish momentum may follow quickly.

Foresight News reports that according to Swissblock monitoring, the market is currently at a bottom stage. The last top-bottom signal was triggered on April 7, leading to a significant market change with BTC rising about 30% within three weeks, and major altcoins increasing between 50% and 120%. Currently, only 8% of altcoins show negative momentum, and historical data suggests that a market bottom forms when this percentage reaches 15% to 25%. A reset to 0% is expected to lead to a rebound in Ethereum and other altcoins.

Analysis: Market bottom signals appear, and the market may rebound.

The broader market is currently consolidating and building momentum, with clear short- and medium-term divergences in sentiment and intrinsic value. The following strategies are recommended for BODEN:

- Initial Positioning: Open positions in batches near important previous support levels, keeping each trade under 10% of total capital.
- Stop-Loss Setting: Exit decisively with a stop loss if support is breached, capping the loss per trade at 5% or less.
- Trend Confirmation: Consider adding to positions after price stabilizes above key resistance to benefit from the rebound following a correction.

This approach balances offense and defense, aiming to capture excess returns during a market reversal while reducing the drawdown risks associated with range-bound trading.

Jeo Boden

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