LIT's short-term support lies in the 0.89–0.93 USD range, with key resistance at 1.05 USD. Although the liquidity partnership program and whale accumulation present short-term bullish signals, continued trading volume is needed to drive further upward movement. Large-scale token lockups are tightening long-term supply, aiding bottom formation; however, medium-term price remains susceptible to unlock expectations. It is advised to manage positions strictly, monitor liquidity and unlock developments closely, and trade with the trend—buying dips and selling strength. Decisive stop-losses are recommended if 0.89 USD support fails.

Since early April, LIT’s price has retraced from above 1.20 USD to near 0.89 USD, consecutively breaking the psychological 1.00 USD mark and falling below the 20-day moving average. During this period, trading volume has contracted significantly, indicating bulls have yet to enter meaningfully. The 0.89–0.93 USD range now forms short-term support; if volume rises and price reclaims the 1.05 USD resistance, more buyers could be attracted—otherwise, the coin may continue sideways at low levels. Alternating influences of hawkish Fed expectations and easing geopolitical risks have intensified risk appetite fluctuations, resulting in a clear range-bound trading atmosphere for LIT.

BitMart Research Weekly highlights easing US-Iran tensions and a hawkish shift in the Federal Reserve, driving a rebound in risk assets including crypto. US stocks, especially AI-related sectors, show strong recovery amid geopolitical risks. Inflation data signals potential upward pressure if oil prices stay high. Crypto markets follow US stocks with BTC and ETH leading, while altcoins remain volatile. Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs and MicroStrategy’s increased BTC holdings indicate long-term confidence.

BitMart Research Institute Weekly Hotspot Analysis: US-Iran Easing Combined with Fed's Hawkish Shift, Crypto Market Follows Rebound to Form a Bottom

Lighter DEX has launched a $250,000 weekly liquidity partnership program funneling funds into tokenized commodity and equity asset markets, which has temporarily driven LIT’s price and trading volume sharply higher. However, there have been several pullbacks after the rallies, indicating limited interest in chasing the price. Sustained momentum by the bulls will require continuous inflows of new capital and increasing volume breakouts; otherwise, LIT may remain trapped in its established range with choppy price action.

Well-known traders have increased their LIT long positions as part of multi-asset portfolios, signaling recognition of the asset’s medium-term liquidity and value potential. This large-scale leverage positioning lends some market sentiment support but may also trigger short-term volatility due to profit-taking or forced liquidations when volatility picks up. Therefore, close monitoring of overall positions and leverage risks is necessary.

Trader Loracle has increased their 7x leveraged CL short position to $19.76 million and added a 5x leveraged TON long position. They also hold long positions in BTC, NEAR, LIT, TAO, PAXG, and ENA, with a total value exceeding $47.17 million.

Trader Loracle increased short positions on CL to $19.76 million, with total long positions exceeding $47.17 million.

The platform has initiated a sizable one-year token lockup with phased unlocking, effectively reducing short-term market circulation and alleviating possible supply overhang. This move helps stabilize support levels and lays a foundation for future value realization, but continued attention should be paid to future unlock schedules and secondary market absorption to determine the real mid-to-long term impact on price.

Dragonfly received 55.8 million LIT tokens from Lighter, representing their investor token allocation. These tokens will be locked for one year and released in tranches after the Token Generation Event (TGE), with liquidity not expected before December 30, 2026.

Dragonfly received $55.80M LIT, which will be unlocked in 2026.

ECB: Lagarde Signals No Near-Term Rate Move – Danske Bank

Nikkei: Bank of Japan to hold rates steady in April

Fed Chair Nominee Kevin Warsh Vows Fed Independence Despite Trump’s Push for Rate Cuts

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April has reached 100%.

US Treasuries are still pricing in a war in the Middle East that other asset classes have shrugged off, setting up a drop in yields as they catch up, according to Bank of America.

Lagarde: Broad fiscal support will force the European Central Bank to raise key interest rates.

Iran accuses US of attacking commercial vessel, escalating Strait tensions

Pentagon reports 415 US troops wounded in Iran, indicating ground involvement

US seizes MV Touska in Hormuz, linked to Iranian missile shipments

Bitcoin Under Pressure as Iran Strikes US Warships in Retaliation for Seized Cargo Ship

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