WOOLLY benefits from the recent rebound in market liquidity and possesses momentum for a short-term rally driven by capital inflow; however, it still remains in the price recovery phase, with investor sentiment leaning towards caution. At current levels (suggested range: 10%-20% rebound from previous lows), it is advisable to pay attention to matching trading volumes and seek buying opportunities on dips. Going forward, be wary of a secondary decline triggered by lack of fundamental support. The medium-to-long term allocation value depends on progress in its ecosystem utility and core competitiveness. It is recommended to strictly enforce stop-losses and position control to prevent deep drawdowns caused by sentiment reversals.

Recent indicators show that after Bitcoin broke through key psychological levels, market liquidity has warmed up, with capital transitioning from a deleveraging phase to moderate expansion. The healthy upward momentum led by spot purchases reduces the risk of liquidation. Short-term bullish sentiment has been restored and bottoming signals have emerged, providing upward momentum for mid- and small-cap tokens like WOOLLY. Investors can focus on volume coordination during the early stage of rebound and seek opportunities to buy outperforming tokens on dips.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

At the start of the year, the crypto market saw a rare upward breakthrough with BTC surpassing $90,000 and major altcoins like ETH and SOL rising. Several altcoins, including PEPE and IP, surged over 20%. However, key indicators show the market is still in a "price repair" phase with overall market cap below previous highs, a low altseason index, and fear-dominated sentiment. While some view this as a buying opportunity amid improving liquidity and macroeconomic developments, caution remains advised.

Speculation sentiment rises again at the beginning of the year, is the altcoin season repeating?

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

Despite short-term sentiment improvement, overall crypto market capitalization has not returned to historical highs, and investor mindset is still dominated by fear. Alternatives indices and minor bull market indicators remain at low levels. Short-term funds favor tentative buying instead of trend-driven entries, with ongoing risk of liquidity divergence and macro news impact. If WOOLLY lacks strong fundamental support under these circumstances, it may experience a follow-up decline after major coins rally. Watch out for weak buying momentum and insufficient volume coordination after the bounce, which may bring pressure for further price adjustments.

From both macro and industry perspectives, the bull market narrative is still driven by value and trend evolution. As capital returns to the crypto sector, quality projects are better positioned to demonstrate intrinsic value through industry chain integration and technological iteration. If WOOLLY makes substantive progress in core competitiveness, ecosystem applications, and community engagement, its medium-to-long term allocation value should be closely monitored. However, investors must establish strict stop-loss and position management mechanisms to avoid significant drawdowns in the event of adverse sentiment reversals.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua stated that respected investors like Buffett profit from value and trends, not speculation. He affirmed that 2024 is set to be a bull market due to macro and industry factors beyond individual control. Short sellers are making a final effort but face losses—exiting early means small losses, exiting late means large losses. After a month of market volatility, optimism will prevail while pessimists lag behind.

Yi Lihua: Trend is better than speculation, the bull market is set, bears face "small losses early, big losses late."

Miniature Woolly Mammoth

UBS: Still expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points later this year.

The European Central Bank will raise interest rates in June as the Iran war drives inflation higher this year, a Bloomberg survey showed.

Important news from last night and this morning (April 16 - April 17).

Bank of Japan Governor: We need to simultaneously address rising energy prices and economic downturn risks; policy-making is very difficult at this stage.

BOJ chief avoids hints of April rate hike, shattering hawkish market bets

ECB policymakers play down April rate hike chances

Declining energy prices have moved the euro-zone economy back toward the European Central Bank’s base case and may mean interest-rate increases aren’t needed, according to Governing Council member Primoz Dolenc.

Fed’s John Williams Signals Support for Holding Rates Steady Ahead of FOMC Meeting

Israeli envoy warns of reaction if threatened, straining Israel-Iran relations

Trump-Meloni rift strains US-Europe ties amid NATO withdrawal speculation

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